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HabsMetrics

Next game · Sat, Mar 13, 7:00 p.m. EST · Canadian Tire Centre

MTL at OTT

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

@

OTT

OTT

Ottawa Senators

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLOTT

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP3.50
2.60Goals against / GP3.40
+12Goal diff+1

Results and form

8-0-2Record5-4-1
90.0%Points %55.0%
80.0%Home pts %75.0%
100.0%Road pts %41.7%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP27.9
30.0Shots against / GP28.3
14.1%Shooting %12.5%
0.913Save %0.880
1.054PDO1.005
53.3%Corsi %53.7%
54.5%Fenwick %50.3%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %12.9%
73.5%Penalty kill %68.8%
11.3PIM / GP13.8

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %55.4%
18.6Hits / GP25.6
15.6Blocks / GP13.4
3.9Takeaways / GP3.9
16.3Giveaways / GP15.7
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
OTT last 5W0
W
W
L
W
L

Head-to-Head — This Season

2MTL
1OTT
MTL: 10 GFOTT: 8 GF

Last met: Sep 26, 2026

Recent Meetings

Sep 26, 2026MTL @ OTT3 – 4OTT W
Sep 26, 2026OTT @ MTL2 – 4MTL W
Sep 21, 2026OTT @ MTL2 – 3MTL W
Mar 11, 2026MTL @ OTT3 – 2MTL W
Jan 18, 2026MTL @ OTT6 – 5MTL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

38

Injured now

5

Games played

18

  • Ridly GreigLower Body
    2 GMOut

    Greig (lower body) won't play in Saturday's game against the Mammoth, TSN 1200 Ottawa reports. · Nov 6

  • Linus UllmarkLower Body (Strain)
    8 GMInjured Reserve

    Ullmark (lower body) is not expected back for Saturday's clash with Utah, TSN 1200 Ottawa reports. · Nov 6

  • Andre BurakovskyLower Body
    5 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Oct 31

  • Warren FoegeleRight Knee
    5 GMInjured Reserve

    Foegele (knee) will miss 3-4 weeks, Jackson Starr of the Senators' official site reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • William EklundAnkle
    11 GMInjured Reserve

    Eklund had surgery to repair a torn ankle tendon and will be out 10-12 weeks, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia reports Thursday. · Oct 15

Most games missed this season

  • William Eklund11
  • Linus Ullmark8
  • Andre Burakovsky5
  • Warren Foegele5
  • Thomas Chabotreturned4

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

OTT

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
7:52
20Zetterlund
15:07
18Stützle
22:47
28Giroux
17:47
L2
9:27
71Greig
15:52
12Pinto
23:06
22Amadio
14:01
L3
5:59
LW
24Cozens
17:30
19Batherson
17:25
L4
3:36
95Burakovsky
9:24
34Halliday
12:56
21Cousins
7:10
D1
13:46
85Sanderson
26:38
2Zub
18:37
D2
13:49
43Kleven
20:25
10Spence
20:04
D3
8:49
26Yakemchuk
15:07
33Matinpalo
12:43
31Johansson
58:07
Starter
30Ersson
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.