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FINALSAP Center at San Jose · Oct 31
OTT rest: 0dSJS rest: 0d

Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Senators beat Sharks 5–1

  • D. Batherson scored the game-winner at 5:04 of the second.
  • An empty-net goal sealed it late.
  • S. Ersson stopped 22 of 23 shots (.957) for the win.
  • The Senators controlled play, outshooting the Sharks 35–23.
  • D. Cozens led all scorers with 1 goal and 1 assist.
  • HabsMetrics model had the Senators as 56% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    T. Stützle

    OTT · 1G 1A

  2. 2nd star
    D. Cozens

    OTT · 1G 1A

  3. 3rd star
    R. Greig

    OTT · 1G 0A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

OTTSJS
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits1424
Blocked918
Power Play0/30/3
Faceoff %56.543.5
Corsi %----
xG5.601.81
Giveaways1320
Takeaways42

San Jose Sharks

Player statistics for San Jose Sharks
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
011-1011:57
0110422:41
101-1214:40
0000015:59
000-1115:14
0000013:32
000-2214:38
000-1013:37
0000013:07
000-1421:27
----54/59--.91557:31
----30/35--.85700:00

Ottawa Senators

Player statistics for Ottawa Senators
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
112+3117:04
022+4022:50
112+2720:14
112+2517:16
101+1416:11
101+1318:42
011+3018:52
011+1219:02
011+1212:10
000+1413:27
----31/32--.96959:35
----22/23--.95700:00
OTTaway
56%
at
SJShome
44%
Win probability12-pt gap
Model pick
OTT · 56% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Projected GoaltendingMarket Consensus Blend

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

OTT
3.1
–
SJS
2.8

Most likely final: SJS 2–3 OTT · Actual: 1–5

SJS win
44%
OTT win
56%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. SJS 2 – 3 OTT9%
  2. SJS 3 – 2 OTT8%
  3. SJS 3 – 4 OTT7%
  4. SJS 4 – 3 OTT6%
  5. SJS 1 – 2 OTT6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
51%
7+ total goals
41%
SJS by 2+
20%
OTT by 2+
29%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseSJS scoring -7% vs league average, OTT +2% (time-weighted goal model).-0.27
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to SJS.+0.17
  • Team DefenseSJS allowing +5% vs league average, OTT +0%.-0.14
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Yaroslav Askarov (SJS) +0.00 g/gm; Linus Ullmark (OTT) +0.10 g/gm.-0.10
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.06
  • InjuriesSJS without Igor Chernyshov, Alexander Wennberg; OTT without Warren Foegele, William Eklund.+0.04

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

OTT

Actual (from shift data)
L1
10:22
15:55
18:42
17:43
L2
9:40
13:27
20:14
17:16
L3
8:53
12:10
17:04
16:11
L4
6:16
8:42
10:05
7:25
D1
13:16
22:50
18:52
D2
14:58
19:38
18:53
D3
14:56
19:02
18:16
59:35
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

SJS

Actual (from shift data)
L1
9:58
17:10
19:43
13:37
L2
9:04
15:35
15:14
14:53
L3
9:50
13:32
15:59
13:07
L4
6:44
11:57
14:40
14:38
D1
14:56
21:10
D2
11:38
22:41
18:28
D3
8:36
16:22
14:16
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice