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HabsMetrics

Next game · Thu, Jan 28, 8:00 p.m. EST · Scotiabank Saddledome

MTL at CGY

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

@

CGY

CGY

Calgary Flames

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLCGY

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP2.80
2.60Goals against / GP2.50
+12Goal diff+3

Results and form

8-0-2Record6-3-1
90.0%Points %65.0%
80.0%Home pts %83.3%
100.0%Road pts %37.5%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP26.2
30.0Shots against / GP30.6
14.1%Shooting %10.7%
0.913Save %0.918
1.054PDO1.025
53.3%Corsi %49.5%
54.5%Fenwick %49.0%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %36.0%
73.5%Penalty kill %85.7%
11.3PIM / GP8.6

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %45.7%
18.6Hits / GP21.6
15.6Blocks / GP13.4
3.9Takeaways / GP3.5
16.3Giveaways / GP13.9
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
CGY last 5L0
L
L
W
L
W

Head-to-Head — All-Time

0MTL
1CGY
MTL: 1 GFCGY: 2 GF

Last met: Nov 15, 2023

Recent Meetings

Jan 8, 2026CGY @ MTL1 – 4MTL W
Oct 23, 2025MTL @ CGY2 – 1MTL W
Mar 9, 2025MTL @ CGY0 – 1CGY W
Nov 6, 2024CGY @ MTL3 – 2CGY W
Mar 16, 2024MTL @ CGY2 – 5CGY W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

35

Injured now

5

Games played

17

  • Kevin BahlLower Body
    1 GMDay-to-Day

    day-to-day · Nov 7

  • Brennan OthmannUpper Body
    6 GMDay-to-Day

    day-to-day · Nov 7

  • Jonathan HuberdeauHip (Surgery)
    8 GMInjured Reserve

    Huberdeau (hip) took the ice in a regular jersey Friday, Pat Steinberg of QR Calgary 770 AM reports. · Nov 6

  • Connor ZaryKnee (Surgery)
    5 GMOut

    out · Oct 30

  • Samuel HonzekLower Body
    9 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Oct 19

Most games missed this season

  • Samuel Honzek9
  • Jonathan Huberdeau8
  • Brennan Othmann6
  • Connor Zary5
  • Devin Cooleyreturned5

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

CGY

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
9:57
86Farabee
24:08
11Backlund
18:32
27Coronato
18:44
L2
7:24
61Suniev
14:25
17Sharangovich
16:47
16Frost
16:11
L3
7:15
76Pospisil
12:20
22Strome
13:48
92Gridin
16:11
L4
6:54
78Othmann
9:22
38Castagna
10:20
43Klapka
11:48
D1
16:37
71Nemec
21:51
7Bahl
21:46
D2
9:45
19Parekh
20:11
37Kuznetsov
13:57
D3
11:05
28Whitecloud
17:47
55Middleton
16:14
1Cooley
59:38
Starter
32Wolf
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Montréal Canadiens at Calgary Flames matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.