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FINAL / OTClimate Pledge Arena · Nov 5
CGY rest: 1dSEA rest: 4d

Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Kraken beat Flames 2–1 in overtime

  • M. Beniers scored the game-winner at 0:55 in overtime.
  • J. Daccord stopped 25 of 26 shots (.962) for the win.
  • D. Wolf kept the Flames in it with 27 saves (.931).
  • HabsMetrics model had the Kraken as 57% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    M. Beniers

    SEA · 1G 0A

  2. 2nd star
    B. Catton

    SEA · 1G 0A

  3. 3rd star
    J. Daccord

    SEA · .962 SV%

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

CGYSEA
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits2117
Blocked1415
Power Play0/10/3
Faceoff %40.459.6
Corsi %53.346.7
xG2.752.54
Giveaways1017
Takeaways23

Seattle Kraken

Player statistics for Seattle Kraken
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
011+1414:52
101+1115:28
101+1118:52
011+1213:24
011+1123:51
0000117:13
000-1220:15
0000209:16
0000110:28
000-1117:35
----48/49--.98060:55
----25/26--.96200:00

Calgary Flames

Player statistics for Calgary Flames
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
0110215:14
1010116:12
011+1120:14
0000118:53
000-1117:01
0000013:58
0000109:57
0000212:10
0000109:49
0000113:18
----40/42--.95260:55
----27/29--.93100:00
CGYaway
43%
at
SEAhome
57%
Win probability14-pt gap
Model pick
SEA · 57% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceMarket Consensus BlendProjected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

CGY
3.0
–
SEA
3.4

Most likely final: SEA 3–2 CGY · Actual: 2–1

SEA win
57%
CGY win
43%
Goes to OT/SO
23%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. SEA 3 – 2 CGY8%
  2. SEA 4 – 3 CGY7%
  3. SEA 2 – 3 CGY7%
  4. SEA 3 – 4 CGY6%
  5. SEA 2 – 1 CGY5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
58%
7+ total goals
48%
SEA by 2+
31%
CGY by 2+
20%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseSEA scoring +5% vs league average, CGY -10% (time-weighted goal model).+0.46
  • Team DefenseSEA allowing +10% vs league average, CGY +3%.-0.18
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to SEA.+0.17
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.08
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Philipp Grubauer (SEA) -0.04 g/gm; Dustin Wolf (CGY) -0.10 g/gm.+0.06
  • InjuriesSEA without Curtis Douglas, Jared McCann, Ryan Lindgren; CGY without Connor Zary, Samuel Honzek, Jonathan Huberdeau.-0.01

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

CGY

Actual (from shift data)
L1
11:16
19:53
18:53
17:01
L2
9:20
13:18
15:26
15:31
L3
9:29
12:10
15:14
L4
8:08
9:49
13:58
9:57
D1
17:26
22:22
20:51
D2
13:57
20:14
19:35
D3
13:53
18:11
18:10
60:55
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

SEA

Actual (from shift data)
L1
16:22
18:52
19:34
17:13
L2
12:50
16:56
17:35
L3
11:50
13:24
15:28
L4
7:19
10:28
11:01
9:16
D1
19:13
23:51
22:55
D2
17:59
23:31
21:23
D3
9:33
13:15
10:56
60:55
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice