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HabsMetrics

Next game · Tue, Jan 19, 7:00 p.m. EST · Capital One Arena

MTL at WSH

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

@

WSH

WSH

Washington Capitals

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLWSH

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP3.60
2.60Goals against / GP3.70
+12Goal diff-1

Results and form

8-0-2Record6-4-0
90.0%Points %60.0%
80.0%Home pts %62.5%
100.0%Road pts %50.0%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP27.9
30.0Shots against / GP27.5
14.1%Shooting %12.9%
0.913Save %0.866
1.054PDO0.995
53.3%Corsi %46.1%
54.5%Fenwick %48.0%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %22.2%
73.5%Penalty kill %70.6%
11.3PIM / GP10.3

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %47.9%
18.6Hits / GP20.8
15.6Blocks / GP16.5
3.9Takeaways / GP3.8
16.3Giveaways / GP16.0
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
WSH last 5W0
W
L
L
W
W

Head-to-Head — This Season

0MTL
1WSH
MTL: 4 GFWSH: 5 GF

Last met: Oct 14, 2026

Recent Meetings

Oct 14, 2026MTL @ WSH4 – 5WSH W
Mar 1, 2026WSH @ MTL2 – 6MTL W
Jan 14, 2026MTL @ WSH2 – 3WSH W
Nov 21, 2025WSH @ MTL8 – 4WSH W
Apr 30, 2025MTL @ WSH1 – 4WSH W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

32

Injured now

3

Games played

15

  • Vincent DesharnaisAbdomen (Surgery)
    6 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Oct 23

  • Rasmus SandinRight Knee (Surgery)
    10 GMLong-Term IR

    Sandin (knee) was placed on long-term injured reserve Monday. · Oct 12

  • Patrick ThomasUpper Body
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Patrick Thomas15
  • Rasmus Sandin10
  • Vincent Desharnais6
  • Logan Thompsonreturned1

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

WSH

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:54
89Tuch
22:32
17Strome
20:59
25Kyrou
16:51
L2
10:10
21Protas
16:48
80Dubois
18:08
43Wilson
19:13
L3
8:23
22Jenner
15:04
34Sourdif
15:26
9Leonard
15:10
L4
6:09
62Protas
9:25
8Ovechkin
11:43
72Beauvillier
7:41
D1
12:30
6Chychrun
25:01
3Roy
24:04
D2
7:15
42Fehervary
23:19
44Hutson
22:32
D3
1:23
27Liljegren
15:56
52McIlrath
7:14
79Lindgren
63:42
Starter
78Gibson
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Patrick Thomasinjured-reserve · Upper Body
  • Vincent Desharnaisinjured-reserve · Abdomen (Surgery)
  • Rasmus Sandinlong-term-injured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery)

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.