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HabsMetrics

Next game · Thu, Apr 1, 7:00 p.m. EDT · Centre Bell

MTL vs NYR

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

vs

NYR

NYR

New York Rangers

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLNYR

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP2.80
2.60Goals against / GP3.80
+12Goal diff-10

Results and form

8-0-2Record4-5-1
90.0%Points %45.0%
80.0%Home pts %60.0%
100.0%Road pts %30.0%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP27.3
30.0Shots against / GP28.7
14.1%Shooting %10.3%
0.913Save %0.868
1.054PDO0.970
53.3%Corsi %48.1%
54.5%Fenwick %47.3%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %20.0%
73.5%Penalty kill %87.1%
11.3PIM / GP8.1

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %53.6%
18.6Hits / GP23.7
15.6Blocks / GP14.4
3.9Takeaways / GP4.1
16.3Giveaways / GP15.2
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
NYR last 5W0
W
W
W
L
L

Head-to-Head — All-Time

1MTL
1NYR
MTL: 8 GFNYR: 10 GF

Last met: Feb 16, 2024

Recent Meetings

Apr 2, 2026MTL @ NYR3 – 2MTL W
Dec 14, 2025MTL @ NYR4 – 5NYR W
Oct 18, 2025NYR @ MTL4 – 3NYR W
Jan 20, 2025NYR @ MTL4 – 5MTL W
Nov 30, 2024MTL @ NYR3 – 4NYR W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

76

Injured now

6

Games played

18

  • Alberts SmitsUpper Body
    1 GMOut

    out · Nov 7

  • Sean DurziLower Body
    4 GMInjured Reserve

    Durzi (undisclosed) was put on injured reserve Thursday, per Mollie Walker of the New York Post. · Nov 5

  • Igor ShesterkinRight Knee (Surgery)
    12 GMLong-Term IR

    Shesterkin will require surgery and a lengthy rehab process to address his season-ending right knee injury, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports Sunday. · Oct 11

  • Joe VelenoRight Lower Body
    12 GMLong-Term IR

    Veleno (lower body) was placed on long-term injured reserve Saturday, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports. · Oct 10

  • Aidan ThompsonUndisclosed
    18 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Adam SykoraLower Body
    18 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Sep 28

Most games missed this season

  • Adam Sykora18
  • Aidan Thompson18
  • Igor Shesterkin12
  • Joe Veleno12
  • Joonas Korpisaloreturned11

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

NYR

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:30
13Lafrenière
18:27
93Zibanejad
19:15
94Perreault
17:07
L2
12:56
24Kartye
17:57
10Miller
20:32
28Bjorkstrand
16:12
L3
9:50
50Cuylle
15:58
42Laba
13:30
16Dorofeyev
16:14
L4
4:52
14Raddysh
5:58
43Glendening
7:31
17Tolvanen
8:49
D1
16:22
23Fox
24:25
44Gavrikov
22:09
D2
10:25
26Pettersson
22:07
4Schneider
20:24
D3
8:35
5Durzi
15:10
12Smits
13:56
33Garand
38:05
Starter

Injured / Scratched

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

New York Rangers at Montréal Canadiens matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.