← Back to Dashboard FINAL Madison Square Garden · Nov 1
EDM rest: 0d NYR rest: 5d
Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Oilers beat Rangers 4–1 🚨 C. Dach scored the game-winner at 6:19 of the first. 📈 The Oilers scored first and led the rest of the way. 📈 An empty-net goal sealed it late. 🧤 M. Tomkins stopped 27 of 28 shots (.964) for the win. ⚡ Power play: EDM 1/4, NYR 0/2. 📊 Model miss: the Oilers won with only a 48% pre-game win probability. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars ★ 1st star ★ 2nd star ★ 3rd star Period by Period Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison Shots -- -- Hits 19 23 Blocked 15 13 Power Play 1/4 0/2 Faceoff % 36.0 64.0 Corsi % -- -- xG 3.09 2.49 Giveaways 15 13 Takeaways 4 7
New York Rangers Player statistics for New York Rangers Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 1 0 1 -1 1 17:35 0 1 1 -1 5 20:08 0 1 1 +1 3 15:02 0 0 0 -2 2 20:12 0 0 0 0 0 07:37 0 0 0 0 2 11:44 0 0 0 -2 0 17:24 0 0 0 -1 1 13:44 0 0 0 0 0 12:09 0 0 0 0 2 18:09 -- -- 31/35 -- .886 57:50 -- -- 21/25 -- .840 00:00
Edmonton Oilers Player statistics for Edmonton Oilers Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 1 2 3 +2 3 25:42 0 2 2 +2 3 20:08 2 0 2 +1 4 14:53 1 1 2 +2 6 23:22 0 1 1 +1 0 21:08 0 0 0 0 1 09:22 0 0 0 0 0 11:55 0 0 0 0 1 08:38 0 0 0 0 0 12:04 0 0 0 0 2 21:31 -- -- 40/41 -- .976 59:13 -- -- 27/28 -- .964 00:00
Most likely final: NYR 3–2 EDM · Actual: 1–4
NYR win 52%
EDM win 48%
Goes to OT/SO 23% Likeliest scorelines NYR 3 – 2 EDM 8% NYR 2 – 3 EDM 7% NYR 4 – 3 EDM 7% NYR 3 – 4 EDM 7% NYR 2 – 1 EDM 4% Goal totals & margins
6+ total goals 59%
7+ total goals 49%
NYR by 2+ 26%
EDM by 2+ 24% Key factors (goal margin, + favors home) Team Offense NYR scoring +1% vs league average, EDM +14% (time-weighted goal model). -0.36 Rest EDM on the second night of a back-to-back. +0.19 Home Ice League-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to NYR. +0.14 Market Consensus Blended 35% toward the consensus market. +0.07 Injuries NYR without Joe Veleno, Sean Durzi, Adam Sykora; EDM without Isaac Howard, Zach Hyman, Matt Savoie. +0.04 Projected Goaltending Projected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Dylan Garand (NYR) -0.00 g/gm; Devon Levi (EDM) -0.03 g/gm. +0.03 Team Defense NYR allowing -1% vs league average, EDM -1%. +0.01 HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
EDM Actual (from shift data)
NYR Actual (from shift data) HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Habs hub Habs schedule NHL schedule NHL predictions today All 32 teams Advanced stats Disclaimer Privacy Policy Terms & Conditions Glossary Cookie settings HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Hockey League. NHL and team marks are the property of the NHL and its teams.
© 2026 HabsMetrics
