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HabsMetrics

Next game · Sun, Mar 28, 7:00 p.m. EDT · Centre Bell

MTL vs DET

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

vs

DET

DET

Detroit Red Wings

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLDET

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP3.30
2.60Goals against / GP3.10
+12Goal diff+2

Results and form

8-0-2Record5-4-1
90.0%Points %55.0%
80.0%Home pts %50.0%
100.0%Road pts %58.3%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP27.5
30.0Shots against / GP24.7
14.1%Shooting %12.0%
0.913Save %0.875
1.054PDO0.995
53.3%Corsi %46.1%
54.5%Fenwick %48.3%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %27.6%
73.5%Penalty kill %75.0%
11.3PIM / GP6.3

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %50.8%
18.6Hits / GP24.4
15.6Blocks / GP14.6
3.9Takeaways / GP4.6
16.3Giveaways / GP14.8
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
DET last 5L0
L
L
W
L
W

Head-to-Head — This Season

1MTL
0DET
MTL: 1 GFDET: 0 GF

Last met: Oct 10, 2026

Recent Meetings

Oct 10, 2026DET @ MTL0 – 1MTL W
Mar 19, 2026MTL @ DET1 – 3DET W
Jan 11, 2026DET @ MTL4 – 0DET W
Oct 9, 2025MTL @ DET5 – 1MTL W
Apr 8, 2025DET @ MTL1 – 4MTL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

56

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • John GibsonLower Body
    2 GMOut

    out · Nov 7

  • Albert JohanssonUndisclosed
    6 GMInjured Reserve

    Johansson (undisclosed) will be with the Red Wings for their upcoming four-game road trip, Ansar Khan of MLive.com reports Friday. · Nov 6

  • Marco KasperUpper Body
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Head coach Todd McLellan said Thursday that he expects Kasper (upper body) to return at some point during the Red Wings' upcoming four-game road trip, Max Bultman of The Athletic reports. · Nov 5

  • Mason AppletonUndisclosed
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Head coach Todd McLellan stated that Appleton (undisclosed) is expected to return to the lineup during the Red Wings' upcoming four-game road trip, per Max Bultman of The Athletic. · Nov 5

  • Dylan LarkinSuspension
    5 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Oct 31

  • Simon EdvinssonContract Dispute
    11 GMInjured Reserve

    Edvinsson (contract dispute) is on the Red Wings' injured, non-roster list, per the NHL media site Wednesday. · Oct 14

Most games missed this season

  • Marco Kasper15
  • Mason Appleton15
  • Simon Edvinsson11
  • Albert Johansson6
  • Dylan Larkin5

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

DET

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
9:44
23Raymond
21:12
71Larkin
23:16
28Brandsegg-Nygård
15:18
L2
9:16
33Arvidsson
18:11
58Finnie
20:34
93DeBrincat
19:28
L3
10:37
37Compher
17:13
27Rasmussen
19:01
18Copp
17:48
L4
3:57
34Mazur
5:10
29Danielson
8:11
55Kolesar
8:19
D1
14:37
53Seider
30:07
8Chiarot
22:33
D2
13:45
72Faulk
22:18
54Wallinder
17:51
D3
8:54
24Englund
13:26
42Johansson
10:53
36Gibson
0:00
Starter
35Postava
63:16
Backup

Injured / Scratched

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Detroit Red Wings at Montréal Canadiens matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.