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HabsMetrics

Next game · Mon, Mar 1, 10:00 p.m. EST · SAP Center at San Jose

MTL at SJS

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

@

SJS

SJS

San Jose Sharks

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLSJS

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP2.50
2.60Goals against / GP3.70
+12Goal diff-12

Results and form

8-0-2Record3-7-0
90.0%Points %30.0%
80.0%Home pts %25.0%
100.0%Road pts %33.3%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP26.1
30.0Shots against / GP32.0
14.1%Shooting %9.6%
0.913Save %0.884
1.054PDO0.980
53.3%Corsi %48.2%
54.5%Fenwick %47.1%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %22.5%
73.5%Penalty kill %75.7%
11.3PIM / GP11.0

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %47.4%
18.6Hits / GP23.6
15.6Blocks / GP13.8
3.9Takeaways / GP3.6
16.3Giveaways / GP17.6
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
SJS last 5L0
L
L
L
L
L

Head-to-Head — This Season

0MTL
1OT/SO
0SJS
MTL: 3 GFSJS: 4 GF

Last met: Oct 20, 2026

Recent Meetings

Oct 20, 2026SJS @ MTL4 – 3SJS W
Mar 14, 2026SJS @ MTL4 – 2SJS W
Mar 4, 2026MTL @ SJS5 – 7SJS W
Feb 28, 2025SJS @ MTL3 – 4MTL W
Feb 5, 2025MTL @ SJS4 – 3MTL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

55

Injured now

4

Games played

19

  • Igor ChernyshovUpper Body
    8 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Oct 28

  • Alexander WennbergUpper Body
    9 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Oct 28

  • Quentin MustyUpper Body
    19 GMInjured Reserve

    Musty (upper body) was put on non-roster injured reserve Monday, according to Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News. · Sep 28

  • Kyle KeyserUpper Body
    19 GMInjured Reserve

    Keyser (upper body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve by the Sharks on Monday, Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News reports. · Sep 28

Most games missed this season

  • Kyle Keyser19
  • Quentin Musty19
  • Alexander Wennberg9
  • Igor Chernyshov8

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

SJS

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:45
41Stenberg
20:22
71Celebrini
24:59
51Graf
15:55
L2
9:05
27Marchment
15:37
2Smith
16:20
77Misa
12:17
L3
8:55
44Sherwood
16:02
10Dellandrea
13:24
73Toffoli
12:50
L4
7:26
23Goodrow
10:28
63Ostapchuk
10:40
81Gaudette
10:21
D1
15:45
65Trouba
24:39
25Nurse
23:54
D2
11:14
6Dickinson
17:58
7Kesselring
16:25
D3
11:54
9Orlov
18:23
42Cagnoni
14:05
30Askarov
59:21
Starter
33Nedeljkovic
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Igor Chernyshovinjured-reserve · Upper Body
  • Kyle Keyserinjured-reserve · Upper Body
  • Alexander Wennberginjured-reserve · Upper Body
  • Quentin Mustyinjured-reserve · Upper Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Montréal Canadiens at San Jose Sharks matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.