SJSaway
44%at
LAKhome
56%Win probability12-pt gap
Model pick
LAK · 56% to win
Key signals
Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Market Consensus BlendTeam Offense (Goal Model)Injuries
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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FINALCrypto.com Arena · Nov 5
SJS rest: 1dLAK rest: 4d
San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team Stats
SJSLAK
| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 20 | 31 |
| Blocked | 12 | 19 |
| Power Play | 2/6 | 3/5 |
| Faceoff % | 52.7 | 47.3 |
| Corsi % | 54.0 | 46.0 |
| xG | 2.77 | 3.78 |
| Giveaways | 16 | 14 |
| Takeaways | 2 | 7 |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 17:23 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 18:02 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20:44 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:29 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 20:04 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:59 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:21 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:51 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 18:12 | |
| -- | -- | 45/47 | -- | .957 | 59:55 | |
| -- | -- | 30/32 | -- | .938 | 00:00 |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 16:52 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 15:33 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 13:02 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 22:40 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:00 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 11:51 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 12:13 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 18:05 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 17:39 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 10:36 | |
| -- | -- | 37/44 | -- | .841 | 60:00 | |
| -- | -- | 20/27 | -- | .741 | 00:00 |
Projected score
SJS
2.7
–
LAK
3.0
Most likely final: LAK 3–2 SJS · Actual: 7–2
- LAK win
- 56%
- SJS win
- 44%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 24%
Likeliest scorelines
- LAK 3 – 2 SJS9%
- LAK 2 – 3 SJS8%
- LAK 2 – 1 SJS7%
- LAK 4 – 3 SJS7%
- LAK 1 – 2 SJS6%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 47%
- 7+ total goals
- 37%
- LAK by 2+
- 28%
- SJS by 2+
- 19%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to LAK.+0.17
- Team DefenseLAK allowing +1% vs league average, SJS +5%.+0.13
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.13
- Team OffenseLAK scoring -8% vs league average, SJS -11% (time-weighted goal model).+0.11
- InjuriesLAK without Adrian Kempe, Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala; SJS without Igor Chernyshov, Alexander Wennberg.-0.10
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Darcy Kuemper (LAK) -0.06 g/gm; Yaroslav Askarov (SJS) +0.00 g/gm.-0.06
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
SJS
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Kyle Keyserinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Igor Chernyshovinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Alexander Wennberginjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Quentin Mustyinjured-reserve · Upper Body
LAK
Actual (from shift data)L1
15:33
D2
12:27
20:04
92Clarke
18:12
Injured / Scratched
- Jakub Dvorakinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Jan Jenikinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Mats Zuccarelloinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Alex Turcotteinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Kevin Fialainjured-reserve · Left Lower Leg (Surgery)
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice