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HabsMetrics

Next game · Tue, Jan 26, 7:00 p.m. EST · Centre Bell

MTL vs CAR

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

vs

CAR

CAR

Carolina Hurricanes

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLCAR

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP4.40
2.60Goals against / GP2.40
+12Goal diff+20

Results and form

8-0-2Record7-2-1
90.0%Points %75.0%
80.0%Home pts %100.0%
100.0%Road pts %58.3%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP33.7
30.0Shots against / GP23.0
14.1%Shooting %13.1%
0.913Save %0.896
1.054PDO1.026
53.3%Corsi %52.7%
54.5%Fenwick %56.2%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %12.0%
73.5%Penalty kill %75.0%
11.3PIM / GP7.9

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %49.0%
18.6Hits / GP17.7
15.6Blocks / GP14.8
3.9Takeaways / GP4.8
16.3Giveaways / GP16.1
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
CAR last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W

Head-to-Head — This Season

0MTL
1CAR
MTL: 4 GFCAR: 6 GF

Last met: Oct 6, 2026

Recent Meetings

Oct 6, 2026CAR @ MTL6 – 4CAR W
May 30, 2026MTL @ CAR1 – 6CAR W
May 28, 2026CAR @ MTL4 – 0CAR W
May 26, 2026CAR @ MTL3 – 2CAR W
May 23, 2026MTL @ CAR2 – 3CAR W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

29

Injured now

1

Games played

19

Most games missed this season

  • Jordan Staal11
  • Alexander Nikishinreturned10
  • Taylor Hallreturned7
  • Mark Jankowskireturned1

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

CAR

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:42
28Carrier
14:00
20Aho
21:18
37Svechnikov
16:47
L2
10:57
27Ehlers
16:16
22Stankoven
15:03
53Blake
16:47
L3
8:25
48Martinook
13:53
77Jankowski
17:16
24Jarvis
16:29
L4
6:37
50Robinson
12:17
82Kotkaniemi
10:18
44Deslauriers
7:29
D1
14:57
74Slavin
23:16
5Chatfield
22:32
D2
14:47
19Miller
20:24
26Walker
18:18
D3
10:19
4Gostisbehere
15:24
8Valimaki
13:43
52Kochetkov
60:00
Starter
32Bussi
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.