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HabsMetrics

Next game · Sat, Jan 16, 7:00 p.m. EST · Xfinity Mobile Arena

MTL at PHI

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

@

PHI

PHI

Philadelphia Flyers

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLPHI

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP2.90
2.60Goals against / GP3.00
+12Goal diff-1

Results and form

8-0-2Record4-5-1
90.0%Points %45.0%
80.0%Home pts %58.3%
100.0%Road pts %25.0%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP25.6
30.0Shots against / GP24.9
14.1%Shooting %11.3%
0.913Save %0.879
1.054PDO0.993
53.3%Corsi %50.1%
54.5%Fenwick %49.1%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %23.1%
73.5%Penalty kill %80.8%
11.3PIM / GP9.1

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %50.8%
18.6Hits / GP21.6
15.6Blocks / GP15.4
3.9Takeaways / GP4.4
16.3Giveaways / GP14.3
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
PHI last 5L0
L
L
W
L
L

Head-to-Head — All-Time

0MTL
1OT/SO
0PHI
MTL: 2 GFPHI: 3 GF

Last met: Jan 11, 2024

Recent Meetings

Apr 14, 2026MTL @ PHI2 – 4PHI W
Dec 17, 2025PHI @ MTL4 – 1PHI W
Nov 5, 2025PHI @ MTL5 – 4PHI W
Sep 23, 2025PHI @ MTL2 – 4MTL W
Apr 5, 2025PHI @ MTL2 – 3MTL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

33

Injured now

2

Games played

18

  • Rasmus RistolainenHand
    5 GMInjured Reserve

    Ristolainen (hand) was placed on injured reserve, retroactive to Oct. 24, on Tuesday. · Oct 27

  • Nikita GrebenkinBack
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Grebenkin (back) underwent successful surgery and is expected to miss at least four months. · Oct 10

Most games missed this season

  • Nikita Grebenkin13
  • Travis Konecnyreturned9
  • Owen Tippettreturned5
  • Rasmus Ristolainen5
  • Cam Yorkreturned1

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

PHI

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
10:04
27Cates
14:44
39Michkov
21:35
94Martone
15:23
L2
9:11
22Dvorak
18:14
46Zegras
20:47
54Knuble
12:16
L3
6:53
20Bump
12:11
86Barkey
15:27
71Foerster
16:48
L4
8:38
58Bunting
11:27
14Couturier
14:16
52Acciari
11:34
D1
11:55
9Drysdale
26:48
6Sanheim
24:57
D2
10:36
8York
21:49
24Seeler
16:05
D3
7:14
59Bonk
16:48
19McDonald
13:08
80Vladar
61:11
Starter
53Woll
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Montréal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.