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HabsMetrics

Next game · Sat, Jan 2, 4:00 p.m. EST · Amerant Bank Arena

MTL at FLA

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

@

FLA

FLA

Florida Panthers

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLFLA

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP3.60
2.60Goals against / GP3.10
+12Goal diff+5

Results and form

8-0-2Record6-4-0
90.0%Points %60.0%
80.0%Home pts %80.0%
100.0%Road pts %40.0%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP30.3
30.0Shots against / GP24.3
14.1%Shooting %11.9%
0.913Save %0.872
1.054PDO0.991
53.3%Corsi %57.4%
54.5%Fenwick %57.4%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %28.9%
73.5%Penalty kill %92.3%
11.3PIM / GP12.1

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %49.7%
18.6Hits / GP30.8
15.6Blocks / GP11.6
3.9Takeaways / GP3.9
16.3Giveaways / GP16.6
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
FLA last 5L0
L
W
L
W
W

Head-to-Head — All-Time

0MTL
1OT/SO
2FLA
MTL: 5 GFFLA: 13 GF

Last met: Mar 1, 2024

Recent Meetings

Apr 7, 2026FLA @ MTL3 – 4MTL W
Jan 9, 2026FLA @ MTL2 – 6MTL W
Dec 31, 2025MTL @ FLA3 – 2MTL W
Apr 1, 2025FLA @ MTL2 – 3MTL W
Mar 30, 2025MTL @ FLA4 – 2MTL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

51

Injured now

5

Games played

17

  • Anton LundellUndisclosed
    1 GMOut

    Lundell (undisclosed) is considered questionable to play Sunday versus the Bruins, George Richards of Florida Hockey Now reports. · Nov 7

  • Sandis VilmanisUndisclosed
    1 GMOut

    Vilmanis (undisclosed) will probably miss a few games, according to George Richards of Florida Hockey Now on Saturday. · Nov 7

  • Brad MarchandLeft Knee
    12 GMInjured Reserve

    Head coach Paul Maurice said Friday that Marchand (knee) will travel with the Panthers during their upcoming three-game road trip, Jameson Olive of the Panthers' official site reports. · Nov 6

  • Aleksander BarkovLeft Knee
    14 GMLong-Term IR

    Head coach Paul Maurice said Friday that Barkov (knee) will travel with the Panthers during their upcoming three-game road trip, Jameson Olive of the Panthers' official site reports. · Nov 6

  • Jonah GadjovichNeck (Surgery)
    17 GMLong-Term IR

    Gadjovich (upper body) is out indefinitely, the team announced Thursday. · Sep 17

Most games missed this season

  • Jonah Gadjovich17
  • Aleksander Barkov14
  • Brad Marchand12
  • Jacob Markstromreturned5
  • Anton Lundell1

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

FLA

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
8:56
95Vilmanis
12:35
13Reinhart
18:34
23Verhaeghe
18:26
L2
11:21
15Lundell
16:07
27Luostarinen
16:08
20Eller
15:49
L3
7:54
19Tkachuk
16:45
9Bennett
12:44
8Tkachuk
16:17
L4
9:03
14Imama
11:11
79Schwindt
11:18
21Hathaway
14:15
D1
14:04
3Jones
25:02
77Mikkola
19:16
D2
14:42
42Forsling
19:25
5Ekblad
19:20
D3
12:05
7Kulikov
15:53
6Gudas
14:55
40Schmid
60:00
Starter
31Black
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.