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HabsMetrics

Next game · Mon, Dec 14, 7:30 p.m. EST · Centre Bell

MTL vs EDM

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

vs

EDM

EDM

Edmonton Oilers

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLEDM

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP4.00
2.60Goals against / GP3.10
+12Goal diff+9

Results and form

8-0-2Record6-2-2
90.0%Points %70.0%
80.0%Home pts %58.3%
100.0%Road pts %87.5%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP26.2
30.0Shots against / GP26.9
14.1%Shooting %15.3%
0.913Save %0.885
1.054PDO1.038
53.3%Corsi %49.2%
54.5%Fenwick %49.2%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %41.0%
73.5%Penalty kill %78.1%
11.3PIM / GP10.7

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %47.2%
18.6Hits / GP22.5
15.6Blocks / GP13.0
3.9Takeaways / GP3.8
16.3Giveaways / GP16.0
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
EDM last 5L0
L
L
W
W
W

Head-to-Head — All-Time

0MTL
1OT/SO
0EDM
MTL: 1 GFEDM: 2 GF

Last met: Jan 14, 2024

Recent Meetings

Dec 15, 2025EDM @ MTL1 – 4MTL W
Oct 24, 2025MTL @ EDM5 – 6EDM W
Mar 7, 2025MTL @ EDM2 – 3EDM W
Nov 19, 2024EDM @ MTL0 – 3MTL W
Mar 20, 2024MTL @ EDM2 – 3EDM W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

105

Injured now

5

Games played

17

  • Isaac HowardLeft Knee
    4 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Nov 5

  • Alec RegulaUndisclosed
    16 GMLong-Term IR

    Regula (undisclosed) was designated for long-term injured reserve Thursday. · Oct 1

  • Matt SavoieLower Body
    16 GMLong-Term IR

    Savoie (lower body) was shifted to long-term injured reserve Thursday. · Oct 1

  • Frederik AndersenKnee
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    Andersen (knee) isn't expected back until "maybe" December, head coach Mike Babcock told NHL.com on Tuesday. · Sep 29

  • Mattias JanmarkUndisclosed (Surgery)
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    Janmark (undisclosed) does not have a timetable for his return from injury. · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Atro Leppanenreturned17
  • Frederik Andersen17
  • Mattias Janmark17
  • Alec Regula16
  • Matt Savoie16

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

EDM

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
18:10
29Draisaitl
25:10
97McDavid
26:27
92Podkolzin
21:37
L2
6:46
34Dach
14:38
93Nugent-Hopkins
22:22
42Kapanen
19:02
L3
6:28
26Formenton
11:35
43Michaels
12:57
21Joseph
10:32
L4
0:01
53Howard
8:43
10Frederic
7:14
RW
D1
16:54
2Bouchard
31:41
85Mukhamadullin
17:52
D2
18:21
6Shea
25:02
5Murphy
22:28
D3
7:26
96Walman
13:16
49Emberson
9:08
35Jarry
65:00
Starter
90Tomkins
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Edmonton Oilers at Montréal Canadiens matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.