← Back to Dashboard FINAL Rogers Place · Nov 6
ANA rest: 1d EDM rest: 1d
Game analysis
Ducks beat Oilers 5–4 🚨 B. Sennecke scored the game-winner on the power play at 1:42 of the third. 📈 A back-and-forth game: the lead changed hands 2 times. 🧤 L. Brossoit stopped 23 of 27 shots (.852) for the win. 🏒 The Ducks won despite being outshot 27–22. ⚡ Power play: ANA 2/8, EDM 2/6. 📊 Model miss: the Ducks won with only a 35% pre-game win probability. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars ★ 1st star ★ 2nd star ★ 3rd star Period by Period Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison Shots -- -- Hits 23 12 Blocked 14 9 Power Play 2/8 2/6 Faceoff % 34.6 65.4 Corsi % 44.7 55.3 xG 3.39 3.82 Giveaways 14 20 Takeaways 3 4
Edmonton Oilers Player statistics for Edmonton Oilers Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 1 3 4 +1 3 24:25 0 2 2 0 1 19:31 1 1 2 +1 6 24:06 1 1 2 0 3 24:12 0 1 1 0 1 21:07 1 0 1 0 3 20:00 0 0 0 0 0 10:33 0 0 0 -1 0 11:12 0 0 0 -1 3 17:05 0 0 0 -1 1 12:28 -- -- 32/37 -- .865 57:14
Anaheim Ducks Player statistics for Anaheim Ducks Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 2 1 3 +1 4 16:36 2 1 3 +2 4 16:01 1 1 2 +1 3 17:57 0 2 2 +1 2 25:30 0 1 1 0 2 18:20 0 1 1 +1 1 21:04 0 1 1 0 0 33:09 0 1 1 +1 0 23:10 0 1 1 +1 1 15:57 0 0 0 0 0 08:08 -- -- 38/42 -- .905 60:00 -- -- 23/27 -- .852 00:00
Most likely final: EDM 4–3 ANA · Actual: 4–5
EDM win 65%
ANA win 35%
Goes to OT/SO 20% Likeliest scorelines EDM 4 – 3 ANA 7% EDM 3 – 2 ANA 7% EDM 3 – 4 ANA 6% EDM 2 – 3 ANA 5% EDM 5 – 4 ANA 5% Goal totals & margins
6+ total goals 67%
7+ total goals 57%
EDM by 2+ 40%
ANA by 2+ 15% Key factors (goal margin, + favors home) Team Defense EDM allowing -3% vs league average, ANA +14%. +0.47 Home Ice League-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to EDM. +0.18 Team Offense EDM scoring +14% vs league average, ANA +7% (time-weighted goal model). +0.18 Market Consensus Blended 35% toward the consensus market. -0.09 Projected Goaltending Projected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Tristan Jarry (EDM) -0.01 g/gm; Lukas Dostal (ANA) -0.08 g/gm. +0.07 Injuries EDM without Isaac Howard, Zach Hyman, Matt Savoie; ANA without A.J. Greer, Troy Terry, Ian Moore. +0.07 HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
ANA Actual (from shift data)
EDM Actual (from shift data) HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Habs hub Habs schedule NHL schedule NHL predictions today Disclaimer Privacy Policy Terms & Conditions Glossary Cookie settings HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Hockey League. NHL and team marks are the property of the NHL and its teams.
© 2026 HabsMetrics
