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HabsMetrics

Next game · Tue, Dec 8, 7:00 p.m. EST · Centre Bell

MTL vs VGK

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

vs

VGK

VGK

Vegas Golden Knights

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLVGK

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP3.00
2.60Goals against / GP3.00
+12Goal diff0

Results and form

8-0-2Record5-3-2
90.0%Points %60.0%
80.0%Home pts %60.0%
100.0%Road pts %60.0%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP27.1
30.0Shots against / GP26.2
14.1%Shooting %11.1%
0.913Save %0.885
1.054PDO0.996
53.3%Corsi %49.7%
54.5%Fenwick %51.9%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %34.8%
73.5%Penalty kill %72.0%
11.3PIM / GP9.3

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %50.0%
18.6Hits / GP25.1
15.6Blocks / GP14.8
3.9Takeaways / GP3.4
16.3Giveaways / GP17.9
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
VGK last 5W0
W
W
L
L
W

Head-to-Head — All-Time

0MTL
1OT/SO
1VGK
MTL: 7 GFVGK: 9 GF

Last met: Nov 17, 2023

Recent Meetings

Jan 28, 2026VGK @ MTL2 – 3MTL W
Nov 28, 2025MTL @ VGK4 – 1MTL W
Dec 31, 2024MTL @ VGK3 – 2MTL W
Nov 24, 2024VGK @ MTL6 – 2VGK W
Nov 17, 2023VGK @ MTL6 – 5VGK W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

9

Injured now

1

Games played

18

Most games missed this season

  • Parker Wotherspoon7
  • Carter Hartreturned1
  • Mitch Marnerreturned1

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

VGK

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
8:32
49Barbashev
15:22
9Eichel
21:43
61Stone
20:21
L2
6:49
24Connelly
16:28
48Hertl
12:55
42Bowman
16:36
L3
6:31
21Howden
15:24
71Karlsson
16:48
10Holtz
9:29
L4
7:39
26Dowd
10:48
17Gatcomb
11:58
36Lavoie
10:16
D1
18:44
27Theodore
24:35
3McNabb
23:27
D2
15:27
4Andersson
19:35
5Lauzon
18:23
D3
14:24
15Hanifin
19:02
52Coghlan
15:47
33Hill
0:00
Starter

Injured / Scratched

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:23
20Slafkovský
16:22
91Kapanen
14:18
13Caufield
15:50
L2
8:41
85Texier
12:26
24Danault
18:58
76Bolduc
11:42
L3
7:26
63Xhekaj
10:17
71Evans
18:06
77Dach
13:15
L4
9:08
22Kreider
11:27
15Newhook
15:01
17Anderson
14:32
D1
16:25
8Matheson
25:37
21Guhle
23:10
D2
14:53
48Hutson
21:12
53Dobson
19:25
D3
9:04
45Carrier
20:32
72Xhekaj
10:18
32Fowler
60:00
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.