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Next game · Sat, Feb 27, 7:00 p.m. EST · Honda Center

MTL at ANA

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLANA

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP4.20
2.60Goals against / GP4.30
+12Goal diff-1

Results and form

8-0-2Record5-4-1
90.0%Points %55.0%
80.0%Home pts %50.0%
100.0%Road pts %57.1%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP25.3
30.0Shots against / GP27.1
14.1%Shooting %16.6%
0.913Save %0.841
1.054PDO1.007
53.3%Corsi %50.1%
54.5%Fenwick %50.1%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %44.1%
73.5%Penalty kill %70.7%
11.3PIM / GP18.2

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %48.5%
18.6Hits / GP25.1
15.6Blocks / GP13.9
3.9Takeaways / GP3.7
16.3Giveaways / GP15.9
MTL last 5W0
ANA last 5W0

Head-to-Head — All-Time

2MTL
0ANA
MTL: 9 GFANA: 3 GF

Last met: Feb 14, 2024

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • 1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • 13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Man-games lost

46

Injured now

4

Games played

17

  • A.J. GreerUpper Body
    3 GMInjured Reserve

    Greer (upper body) was placed on injured reserve Monday. · Nov 2

  • Troy TerryHip (Surgery)
    17 GMLong-Term IR

    Although Terry's (hip) return doesn't appear to be imminent, he is getting close to playing, Derek Lee of The Hockey News reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Ian MooreLower Body
    11 GMInjured Reserve

    Head coach Joel Quenneville said Friday that Moore (lower body) is still "a ways from skating," Patrick Present of The Hockey News reports. · Oct 16

  • Ryan PoehlingLower Body
    12 GMInjured Reserve

    Poehling (knee) is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with an MCL sprain. · Oct 13

Most games missed this season

  • Troy Terry17
  • Ryan Poehling12
  • Ian Moore11
  • A.J. Greer3
  • Pavel Mintyukovreturned3

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
15:56
16:21
L2
8:58
12:49
17:47
17:06
L3
6:56
11:58
19:21
12:19
L4
5:38
6:19
15:24
13:11
D1
12:37
23:25
22:47
D2
13:28
22:04
19:35
D3
5:47
20:08
10:23
59:38
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

ANA

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
8:41
10:30
22:35
17:57
L2
10:14
15:02
20:36
12:53
L3
12:07
16:28
16:10
14:57
L4
4:55
18:18
6:20
D1
14:04
28:47
21:38
D2
11:54
20:25
17:38
D3
9:58
18:49
18:28
64:49
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.