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HabsMetrics

Next game · Wed, Jan 6, 7:30 p.m. EST · Centre Bell

MTL vs BOS

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

vs

BOS

BOS

Boston Bruins

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLBOS

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP3.80
2.60Goals against / GP2.40
+12Goal diff+14

Results and form

8-0-2Record7-2-1
90.0%Points %75.0%
80.0%Home pts %100.0%
100.0%Road pts %58.3%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP26.6
30.0Shots against / GP26.4
14.1%Shooting %14.3%
0.913Save %0.909
1.054PDO1.052
53.3%Corsi %43.6%
54.5%Fenwick %44.6%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %21.2%
73.5%Penalty kill %77.4%
11.3PIM / GP10.6

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %58.0%
18.6Hits / GP18.3
15.6Blocks / GP15.5
3.9Takeaways / GP3.8
16.3Giveaways / GP16.8
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
BOS last 5W0
W
W
W
L
L

Head-to-Head — All-Time

1MTL
2BOS
MTL: 9 GFBOS: 16 GF

Last met: Jan 21, 2024

Recent Meetings

Mar 17, 2026BOS @ MTL2 – 3MTL W
Jan 25, 2026MTL @ BOS3 – 4BOS W
Dec 24, 2025MTL @ BOS6 – 2MTL W
Nov 16, 2025BOS @ MTL3 – 2BOS W
Apr 3, 2025BOS @ MTL1 – 4MTL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

3

Injured now

2

Games played

17

  • James HagensBack
    1 GMInjured Reserve

    Head coach Marco Sturm announced Saturday that Hagens (back) is expected to miss multiple weeks, per Jack Studley of Boston Hockey Now. · Nov 7

  • Matthew PoitrasNose (Fracture)
    2 GMDay-to-Day

    day-to-day · Nov 6

Most games missed this season

  • Matthew Poitras2
  • James Hagens1

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

BOS

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:08
10Peterka
19:24
18Zacha
20:53
88Pastrnak
22:39
L2
9:02
44Hagens
13:31
28Lindholm
19:17
11Mittelstadt
13:27
L3
8:42
93Minten
15:34
39Geekie
16:49
92Khusnutdinov
13:46
L4
6:14
84Jeannot
8:41
47Kastelic
10:23
51Poitras
8:36
D1
14:42
73McAvoy
26:32
27Lindholm
20:33
D2
14:13
91Zadorov
18:31
17Borgen
18:12
D3
10:09
6Lohrei
15:03
42Brunet
12:22
1Swayman
57:47
Starter
30DiPietro
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

None reported

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Boston Bruins at Montréal Canadiens matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.