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HabsMetrics

Next game · Sat, Dec 19, 7:00 p.m. EST · Grand Casino Arena

MTL at MIN

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

@

MIN

MIN

Minnesota Wild

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLMIN

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP3.50
2.60Goals against / GP2.20
+12Goal diff+13

Results and form

8-0-2Record6-1-3
90.0%Points %75.0%
80.0%Home pts %66.7%
100.0%Road pts %78.6%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP29.6
30.0Shots against / GP25.8
14.1%Shooting %11.8%
0.913Save %0.915
1.054PDO1.033
53.3%Corsi %50.9%
54.5%Fenwick %50.7%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %23.1%
73.5%Penalty kill %68.8%
11.3PIM / GP9.0

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %46.3%
18.6Hits / GP24.2
15.6Blocks / GP15.3
3.9Takeaways / GP4.1
16.3Giveaways / GP15.0
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
MIN last 5OTL0
L
W
W
W
L

Head-to-Head — All-Time

0MTL
1OT/SO
1MIN
MTL: 5 GFMIN: 9 GF

Last met: Dec 22, 2023

Recent Meetings

Feb 3, 2026MTL @ MIN3 – 4MIN W
Jan 21, 2026MIN @ MTL3 – 4MTL W
Jan 31, 2025MIN @ MTL4 – 0MIN W
Nov 15, 2024MTL @ MIN0 – 3MIN W
Dec 22, 2023MTL @ MIN3 – 4MIN W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

64

Injured now

4

Games played

19

  • Michael McCarronUpper Body
    2 GMOut

    out · Nov 7

  • Filip GustavssonHip (Surgery)
    11 GMLong-Term IR

    Gustavsson (hip) will travel with the Wild during the team's upcoming three-game road trip, per Joe Smith of The Athletic. · Nov 5

  • Jared SpurgeonLower Body
    5 GMInjured Reserve

    Spurgeon (lower body) is expected to travel with the team for its upcoming three-game road trip starting Tuesday against Montreal, Joe Smith of The Athletic reports. · Nov 5

  • Brock FaberSkull (Surgery)
    19 GMInjured Reserve

    Faber (skull) skated with his teammates for the first time Thursday, Joe Smith of The Athletic reports. · Nov 5

Most games missed this season

  • Brock Faber19
  • Nick Folignoreturned14
  • Marcus Folignoreturned13
  • Filip Gustavsson11
  • Jared Spurgeon5

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:23
20Slafkovský
16:22
91Kapanen
14:18
13Caufield
15:50
L2
8:41
85Texier
12:26
24Danault
18:58
76Bolduc
11:42
L3
7:26
63Xhekaj
10:17
71Evans
18:06
77Dach
13:15
L4
9:08
22Kreider
11:27
15Newhook
15:01
17Anderson
14:32
D1
16:25
8Matheson
25:37
21Guhle
23:10
D2
14:53
48Hutson
21:12
53Dobson
19:25
D3
9:04
45Carrier
20:32
72Xhekaj
10:18
32Fowler
60:00
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

MIN

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
17:40
12Boldy
22:40
14Eriksson Ek
20:10
97Kaprizov
21:53
L2
8:53
20Coleman
14:22
47McCarron
14:49
10Brink
13:42
L3
8:01
49Shabanov
16:04
13Trenin
12:31
22Yurov
12:59
L4
7:19
19Pitlick
8:55
78Sturm
12:28
38Hartman
12:17
D1
13:18
43Hughes
26:10
46Spurgeon
20:09
D2
11:38
25Brodin
19:03
3Maatta
18:38
D3
9:14
24Bogosian
16:59
26Kiersted
12:11
30Wallstedt
0:00
Starter
31Pickard
60:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.