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Next game · Thu, Dec 10, 7:00 p.m. EST · Centre Bell

MTL vs ANA

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLANA

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP4.20
2.60Goals against / GP4.30
+12Goal diff-1

Results and form

8-0-2Record5-4-1
90.0%Points %55.0%
80.0%Home pts %50.0%
100.0%Road pts %57.1%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP25.3
30.0Shots against / GP27.1
14.1%Shooting %16.6%
0.913Save %0.841
1.054PDO1.007
53.3%Corsi %50.1%
54.5%Fenwick %50.1%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %44.1%
73.5%Penalty kill %70.7%
11.3PIM / GP18.2

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %48.5%
18.6Hits / GP25.1
15.6Blocks / GP13.9
3.9Takeaways / GP3.7
16.3Giveaways / GP15.9
MTL last 5W0
ANA last 5W0

Head-to-Head — All-Time

2MTL
0ANA
MTL: 9 GFANA: 3 GF

Last met: Feb 14, 2024

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • 1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • 13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Man-games lost

46

Injured now

4

Games played

17

  • A.J. GreerUpper Body
    3 GMInjured Reserve

    Greer (upper body) was placed on injured reserve Monday. · Nov 2

  • Troy TerryHip (Surgery)
    17 GMLong-Term IR

    Although Terry's (hip) return doesn't appear to be imminent, he is getting close to playing, Derek Lee of The Hockey News reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Ian MooreLower Body
    11 GMInjured Reserve

    Head coach Joel Quenneville said Friday that Moore (lower body) is still "a ways from skating," Patrick Present of The Hockey News reports. · Oct 16

  • Ryan PoehlingLower Body
    12 GMInjured Reserve

    Poehling (knee) is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with an MCL sprain. · Oct 13

Most games missed this season

  • Troy Terry17
  • Ryan Poehling12
  • Ian Moore11
  • A.J. Greer3
  • Pavel Mintyukovreturned3

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

ANA

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
10:38
18:37
20:26
12:29
L2
8:28
10:26
21:42
18:29
L3
6:03
15:02
12:32
8:48
L4
6:39
11:00
14:26
10:53
D1
14:27
25:38
18:23
D2
7:18
20:06
19:02
D3
6:28
17:47
13:54
60:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:23
14:18
15:50
L2
8:41
12:26
18:58
11:42
L3
7:26
10:17
18:06
13:15
L4
9:08
11:27
15:01
14:32
D1
16:25
25:37
23:10
D2
14:53
21:12
19:25
D3
9:04
20:32
10:18
60:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

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