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HabsMetrics

Next game · Thu, Mar 4, 7:00 p.m. EST · Centre Bell

MTL vs SEA

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

vs

SEA

SEA

Seattle Kraken

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLSEA

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP3.10
2.60Goals against / GP4.00
+12Goal diff-9

Results and form

8-0-2Record5-4-1
90.0%Points %55.0%
80.0%Home pts %66.7%
100.0%Road pts %37.5%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP25.4
30.0Shots against / GP29.4
14.1%Shooting %12.2%
0.913Save %0.864
1.054PDO0.986
53.3%Corsi %43.3%
54.5%Fenwick %43.6%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %22.2%
73.5%Penalty kill %59.3%
11.3PIM / GP7.0

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %52.5%
18.6Hits / GP16.5
15.6Blocks / GP14.9
3.9Takeaways / GP3.8
16.3Giveaways / GP14.9
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
SEA last 5L0
L
W
L
W
L

Head-to-Head — All-Time

1MTL
0SEA
MTL: 4 GFSEA: 2 GF

Last met: Dec 5, 2023

Recent Meetings

Oct 29, 2025MTL @ SEA4 – 3MTL W
Oct 14, 2025SEA @ MTL4 – 5MTL W
Mar 13, 2025MTL @ SEA4 – 5SEA W
Oct 29, 2024SEA @ MTL8 – 2SEA W
Mar 25, 2024MTL @ SEA5 – 1MTL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

47

Injured now

6

Games played

16

  • Nikke KokkoNot Injury Related
    1 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Nov 7

  • Curtis DouglasUpper Body
    2 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Nov 4

  • Jared McCannLower Body
    5 GMInjured Reserve

    McCann (lower body) will be out for approximately 10 weeks, the team announced Sunday. · Oct 25

  • Jacob MelansonChest
    11 GMInjured Reserve

    Melanson's upper-body injury was diagnosed Saturday as an anterior mediastinum hematoma with vascular pseudo aneurysm. He will continue to be evaluated and is out indefinitely. · Oct 10

  • Ryan LindgrenUpper Body
    12 GMInjured Reserve

    Lindgren (upper body) was placed on injured reserve by the Kraken on Thursday and is expected to miss four to six weeks. · Oct 8

  • Jake O'BrienLower Body
    16 GMInjured Reserve

    O'Brien (lower body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve Wednesday. · Sep 30

Most games missed this season

  • Jake O'Brien16
  • Ryan Lindgren12
  • Jacob Melanson11
  • Jared McCann5
  • Curtis Douglas2

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

SEA

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
10:58
84Kakko
17:18
10Beniers
19:43
7Eberle
18:52
L2
9:24
9Stephenson
15:56
74McMann
16:25
11Samoskevich
16:21
L3
7:00
27Catton
15:22
51Wright
15:33
26Winterton
14:24
L4
3:47
59Meyers
13:02
89Gaudreau
15:54
42Douglas
5:17
D1
15:26
62Montour
23:42
41Evans
20:43
D2
12:34
29Dunn
20:47
6Larsson
17:46
D3
12:14
28Mahura
16:39
8Fleury
13:41
31Grubauer
0:00
Starter
35Daccord
56:35
Backup

Injured / Scratched

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Seattle Kraken at Montréal Canadiens matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.