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HabsMetrics

Next game · Sat, Jan 9, 7:00 p.m. EST · Centre Bell

MTL vs PIT

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

vs

PIT

PIT

Pittsburgh Penguins

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLPIT

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP2.90
2.60Goals against / GP4.10
+12Goal diff-12

Results and form

8-0-2Record2-7-1
90.0%Points %25.0%
80.0%Home pts %50.0%
100.0%Road pts %0.0%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP26.7
30.0Shots against / GP26.0
14.1%Shooting %10.9%
0.913Save %0.842
1.054PDO0.951
53.3%Corsi %55.0%
54.5%Fenwick %54.1%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %18.2%
73.5%Penalty kill %73.7%
11.3PIM / GP6.0

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %45.9%
18.6Hits / GP11.9
15.6Blocks / GP9.8
3.9Takeaways / GP4.2
16.3Giveaways / GP17.1
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
PIT last 5L0
L
L
L
L
W

Head-to-Head — This Season

0MTL
1OT/SO
0PIT
MTL: 5 GFPIT: 6 GF

Last met: Oct 3, 2026

Recent Meetings

Oct 31, 2026PIT @ MTL4 – 5MTL W
Oct 3, 2026MTL @ PIT5 – 6PIT W
Dec 22, 2025MTL @ PIT3 – 4PIT W
Dec 21, 2025PIT @ MTL0 – 4MTL W
Dec 12, 2025MTL @ PIT4 – 2MTL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

56

Injured now

4

Games played

16

  • Elmer SoderblomUpper Body
    4 GMInjured Reserve

    Soderblom (upper body) is week-to-week, per Penguins PR on Monday. · Nov 2

  • Bryan RustLower Body
    6 GMInjured Reserve

    Rust (lower body) will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Michelle Crechiolo of the Penguins' official site reports Thursday. · Oct 22

  • Trevor van RiemsdykLower Body
    10 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Oct 12

  • Ryan GravesKnee
    16 GMInjured Reserve

    Graves (lower body) is out indefinitely and was placed on injured reserve Sunday. · Sep 27

Most games missed this season

  • Ryan Graves16
  • Justin Brazeaureturned14
  • Trevor van Riemsdyk10
  • Bryan Rust6
  • Elmer Soderblom4

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

PIT

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
13:42
18Novak
19:31
87Crosby
19:38
67Rakell
19:45
L2
10:39
41Koivunen
16:28
22Lapierre
16:26
85Hayes
12:43
L3
10:20
14Robertson
17:33
19Dewar
13:25
RW
L4
9:15
62Kuzmenko
13:04
46Lizotte
14:54
2McGroarty
12:15
D1
15:10
65Karlsson
26:12
24Stastney
18:13
D2
12:40
58Letang
22:33
7Solovyov
16:12
D3
14:41
72Carlile
20:35
6Korczak
18:08
37Silovs
61:29
Starter
1Murashov
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins at Montréal Canadiens matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.