Mammoth vs Penguins Score & Box Score — Thu, Oct 29, 2026

FINAL / OTPPG Paints Arena · Oct 29

4@3

UTA rest: 0dPIT rest: 4d

Utah Mammoth at Pittsburgh Penguins: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Mammoth beat Penguins 4–3 in overtime

M. Sergachev scored the game-winner at 3:27 in overtime.
A back-and-forth game: the lead changed hands 2 times.
S. Cossa stopped 30 of 33 shots (.909) for the win.
L. Cooley recorded a hat trick.
Model miss: the Mammoth won with only a 50% pre-game win probability.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

1st star
L. Cooley
UTA · 3G 0A
2nd star
M. Sergachev
UTA · 1G 0A
3rd star
B. Kindel
PIT · 1G 1A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

UTAPIT

Team statistics comparison
Shots	--	--
Hits	25	7
Blocked	20	12
Power Play	0/1	0/1
Faceoff %	56.1	43.9
Corsi %	49.6	50.4
xG	3.87	2.98
Giveaways	16	19
Takeaways	6	4

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player statistics for Pittsburgh Penguins
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Ben KindelC	1	1	2	+1	3	16:32
Evgeni MalkinC	0	2	2	+1	4	16:23
Egor ChinakhovRW	0	1	1	+1	0	16:15
Rickard RakellRW	1	0	1	0	3	18:31
Kaedan KorczakD	0	1	1	0	1	19:08
Erik KarlssonD	1	0	1	-2	1	21:33
Tommy NovakC	0	0	0	-1	1	17:03
Connor DewarC	0	0	0	-1	1	12:45
Ville KoivunenRW	0	0	0	-1	1	16:43
Blake LizotteC	0	0	0	-1	1	12:59
Arturs SilovsG	--	--	48/52	--	.923	63:27
Sergei MurashovG	--	--	30/34	--	.882	00:00

Utah Mammoth

Player statistics for Utah Mammoth
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Logan CooleyC	3	0	3	+2	5	18:36
Clayton KellerRW	0	1	1	-2	2	17:53
Lawson CrouseLW	0	1	1	+2	1	17:29
Andrew PeekeD	0	1	1	+1	1	19:44
Mikhail SergachevD	1	0	1	0	2	26:16
Barrett HaytonC	0	1	1	+1	3	16:17
Vincent TrocheckC	0	1	1	+3	4	19:54
Nick SchmaltzC	0	0	0	0	3	15:23
Dylan GuentherRW	0	0	0	-1	0	16:00
Jack McBainC	0	0	0	-1	1	12:34
Sebastian CossaG	--	--	42/45	--	.933	63:07
Karel VejmelkaG	--	--	31/34	--	.912	00:00

UTAaway

50%

PIThome

51%

Win probabilityToss-up

Model pick

Toss-up · No clear favourite · UTA 50% · PIT 51%

Key signals

Home IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Projected GoaltendingTeam Defense (Goal Model)Injuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

UTA

3.3

–

PIT

3.3

Most likely final: PIT 3–2 UTA · Actual: 3–4

PIT win: 51%
UTA win: 50%
Goes to OT/SO: 23%

Likeliest scorelines

PIT 3 – 2 UTA7%
PIT 2 – 3 UTA7%
PIT 4 – 3 UTA7%
PIT 3 – 4 UTA7%
PIT 2 – 1 UTA4%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 61%
7+ total goals: 50%
PIT by 2+: 25%
UTA by 2+: 25%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to PIT.+0.15
Team OffensePIT scoring +4% vs league average, UTA +8% (time-weighted goal model).-0.10
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Arturs Silovs (PIT) -0.03 g/gm; Karel Vejmelka (UTA) -0.07 g/gm.+0.04
Team DefensePIT allowing +5% vs league average, UTA +3%.-0.04
InjuriesPIT without Bryan Rust, Justin Brazeau, Elmer Soderblom; UTA without John Marino, Michael Carcone, Maveric Lamoureux.-0.04