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HabsMetrics

Next game · Tue, Mar 9, 7:00 p.m. EST · UBS Arena

MTL at NYI

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

@

NYI

NYI

New York Islanders

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLNYI

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP2.80
2.60Goals against / GP3.40
+12Goal diff-6

Results and form

8-0-2Record4-3-3
90.0%Points %55.0%
80.0%Home pts %40.0%
100.0%Road pts %70.0%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP25.0
30.0Shots against / GP29.2
14.1%Shooting %11.2%
0.913Save %0.884
1.054PDO0.996
53.3%Corsi %51.0%
54.5%Fenwick %50.1%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %10.3%
73.5%Penalty kill %87.9%
11.3PIM / GP13.5

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %58.0%
18.6Hits / GP25.1
15.6Blocks / GP13.2
3.9Takeaways / GP3.4
16.3Giveaways / GP14.9
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
NYI last 5OTL0
L
L
L
W
W

Head-to-Head — All-Time

2MTL
0NYI
MTL: 9 GFNYI: 6 GF

Last met: Jan 26, 2024

Recent Meetings

Apr 12, 2026MTL @ NYI4 – 1MTL W
Mar 21, 2026NYI @ MTL3 – 7MTL W
Feb 27, 2026NYI @ MTL4 – 3NYI W
Mar 20, 2025MTL @ NYI3 – 4NYI W
Dec 4, 2024NYI @ MTL1 – 2MTL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

38

Injured now

5

Games played

16

  • Mathew BarzalKnee
    10 GMInjured Reserve

    Barzal (knee) practiced Wednesday, but he wore a no-contact jersey, and there's still no timetable for his return, per Stefen Rosner of NHL.com. · Nov 4

  • Ryan PulockUpper Body
    4 GMOut

    out · Nov 1

  • Matias MaccelliLeft Lower Body
    8 GMInjured Reserve

    Maccelli (lower body) was placed on injured reserve Monday. · Oct 26

  • Calum RitchieLower Body
    8 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Oct 26

  • Alexander RomanovRight Knee (Surgery)
    8 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Oct 19

Most games missed this season

  • Mathew Barzal10
  • Alexander Romanov8
  • Calum Ritchie8
  • Matias Maccelli8
  • Ryan Pulock4

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

NYI

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:40
21Palmieri
20:35
14Horvat
26:04
92Holmstrom
25:02
L2
8:09
51Heineman
18:00
10Schenn
19:15
38Eklund
14:00
L3
8:14
81Palat
16:38
44Pageau
16:55
11Duclair
16:11
L4
0:48
4Kessel
5:31
53Cizikas
10:23
26Chaffee
7:35
D1
7:21
48Schaefer
32:16
8Stanley
19:47
D2
7:15
3Pelech
19:13
6Pulock
18:00
D3
1:37
77DeAngelo
16:48
24Mayfield
9:06
30Sorokin
0:00
Starter
40Varlamov
63:10
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.