Skip to content
HabsMetrics

Next game · Sun, Dec 27, 7:00 p.m. EST · Centre Bell

MTL vs DAL

MTL

MTL

Montréal Canadiens

vs

DAL

DAL

Dallas Stars

Full game page →

Model outlook

Full prediction →

No projection for this game yet.

Poisson goals model; no candidate has beaten it in walk-forward tests. Picked the winner in 60% of 94 graded games.

How they compare

Side by side · Last 10

MTLDAL

Goals

3.80Goals for / GP3.30
2.60Goals against / GP2.80
+12Goal diff+5

Results and form

8-0-2Record7-2-1
90.0%Points %75.0%
80.0%Home pts %71.4%
100.0%Road pts %83.3%

Shots and possession

27.0Shots for / GP26.7
30.0Shots against / GP22.8
14.1%Shooting %12.4%
0.913Save %0.877
1.054PDO1.001
53.3%Corsi %51.1%
54.5%Fenwick %52.5%

Special teams and discipline

18.5%Power play %37.5%
73.5%Penalty kill %91.2%
11.3PIM / GP9.5

Puck battles

51.1%Faceoff %58.4%
18.6Hits / GP17.9
15.6Blocks / GP14.6
3.9Takeaways / GP4.3
16.3Giveaways / GP15.2
MTL last 5W0
W
W
L
W
W
DAL last 5W0
W
L
W
W
L

Head-to-Head — This Season

1MTL
0DAL
MTL: 5 GFDAL: 2 GF

Last met: Oct 30, 2026

Recent Meetings

Oct 30, 2026MTL @ DAL5 – 2MTL W
Jan 4, 2026MTL @ DAL4 – 3MTL W
Nov 14, 2025DAL @ MTL7 – 0DAL W
Jan 17, 2025MTL @ DAL3 – 1MTL W
Jan 12, 2025DAL @ MTL2 – 1DAL W

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

79

Injured now

6

Games played

17

  • Josh AndersonPersonal
    1 GMOut

    Anderson (personal) won't play against Toronto on Saturday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports. · Nov 7

  • Ivan DemidovRight Ankle (Fracture)
    15 GMInjured Reserve

    Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports. · Nov 4

  • Mike MathesonLower Body
    5 GMOut

    Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Sam MontembeaultLower Body
    13 GMInjured Reserve

    Montembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday. · Oct 31

  • Bryce PickfordUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

  • Lucas CondottaUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Bryce Pickford17
  • Lucas Condotta17
  • Ivan Demidov15
  • Sam Montembeault13
  • Nick Suzukireturned6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Injuries

League injury report →

Man-games lost

68

Injured now

5

Games played

17

  • Miro HeiskanenUpper Body
    3 GMOut

    out · Nov 6

  • Kyle CapobiancoLeft Leg
    6 GMInjured Reserve

    ir · Oct 31

  • Oskar BackFinger (Fracture)
    7 GMLong-Term IR

    Back was placed on long-term injured reserve on Saturday. · Oct 24

  • Matt DucheneAbdomen
    12 GMLong-Term IR

    Duchene will be out for approximately three months after undergoing surgery to repair a core injury, the team announced Monday. · Oct 12

  • Luke KrysUndisclosed
    17 GMInjured Reserve

    ir-nr · Sep 29

Most games missed this season

  • Luke Krys17
  • Cameron Hughesreturned12
  • Matt Duchene12
  • Oskar Back7
  • Kyle Capobianco6

GM = team games missed in the current stint. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only, not gambling advice. Injury reports sourced from ESPN's public NHL injury feed.

Lineups

DAL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
7:55
22Kiviranta
16:59
53Johnston
20:44
96Rantanen
17:29
L2
6:03
21Robertson
18:51
91Seguin
17:42
24Hintz
13:13
L3
3:22
15Blackwell
11:21
49Hryckowian
14:56
43Seminoff
8:36
L4
2:11
14Benn
9:46
25Hyry
16:12
46Hryckowian
7:56
D1
16:30
55Harley
26:40
4Heiskanen
25:29
D2
7:18
6Bichsel
19:49
5Lundkvist
18:40
D3
6:11
57Myers
18:55
RD
29Oettinger
0:00
Starter
1DeSmith
60:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

MTL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:45
20Slafkovský
17:29
91Kapanen
15:56
13Caufield
16:21
L2
8:58
22Kreider
12:49
15Newhook
17:47
17Anderson
17:06
L3
6:56
85Texier
11:58
24Danault
19:21
76Bolduc
12:19
L4
5:38
63Xhekaj
6:19
71Evans
15:24
77Dach
13:11
D1
12:37
8Matheson
23:25
21Guhle
22:47
D2
13:28
48Hutson
22:04
53Dobson
19:35
D3
5:47
45Carrier
20:08
42Engstrom
10:23
32Fowler
59:38
Starter
75Dobes
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Bryce Pickfordinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Lucas Condottainjured-reserve · Undisclosed
  • Nick Suzukiother · Upper Body
  • Sam Montembeaultinjured-reserve · Lower Body
  • Ivan Demidovinjured-reserve · Lower Body

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.

Dallas Stars at Montréal Canadiens matchup preview: the HabsMetrics model’s win probability and projected score, a stat-by-stat team comparison, recent form and head-to-head history. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.