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SCHEDULEDHonda Center · Nov 12
—@—
NSH rest: 0dANA rest: 2d

Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

NSHaway
52%
at
ANAhome
48%
Win probability4-pt gap
Model pick
NSH · 52% to win

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot MetricsRest / Back-to-BackInjuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

NSH
3.1
–
ANA
3.0

Most likely final: ANA 2–3 NSH

ANA win
48%
NSH win
52%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. ANA 2 – 3 NSH8%
  2. ANA 3 – 2 NSH8%
  3. ANA 3 – 4 NSH7%
  4. ANA 4 – 3 NSH7%
  5. ANA 1 – 2 NSH5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
54%
7+ total goals
44%
ANA by 2+
23%
NSH by 2+
26%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team DefenseANA allowing +13% vs league average, NSH -7%.-0.57
  • Team OffenseANA scoring +10% vs league average, NSH -1% (time-weighted goal model).+0.32
  • Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: ANA 3.17 vs NSH 2.94 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.29
  • InjuriesANA without A.J. Greer, Troy Terry, Ian Moore.-0.24
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to ANA.+0.20
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Lukas Dostal (ANA) -0.10 g/gm; Juuse Saros (NSH) +0.04 g/gm.-0.15

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

NSH

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:08
17:15
18:39
13:38
L2
9:02
16:18
18:02
13:43
L3
6:57
12:02
19:12
L4
7:01
10:10
20:45
13:00
D1
15:58
27:33
21:32
D2
12:32
20:23
18:02
D3
14:13
17:31
16:05
0:00
Starter
64:52
Backup

Injured / Scratched

None reported

ANA

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
14:32
19:02
20:04
20:53
L2
7:36
16:32
20:40
13:21
L3
8:09
LW
16:13
10:27
L4
5:35
8:30
11:46
D1
13:52
28:04
21:59
D2
8:02
21:27
20:12
D3
2:56
11:16
9:29
0:00
Starter
60:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice