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SCHEDULEDT-Mobile Arena · Nov 14
—@—
NSH rest: 1dVGK rest: 1d

Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

NSHaway
43%
at
VGKhome
57%
Win probability14-pt gap
Model pick
VGK · 57% to win

Key signals

Home IceRecent Form & Shot MetricsTeam Offense (Goal Model)Projected GoaltendingInjuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

NSH
2.7
–
VGK
3.1

Most likely final: VGK 3–2 NSH

VGK win
57%
NSH win
43%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. VGK 3 – 2 NSH9%
  2. VGK 2 – 3 NSH8%
  3. VGK 4 – 3 NSH7%
  4. VGK 2 – 1 NSH6%
  5. VGK 3 – 4 NSH6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
50%
7+ total goals
40%
VGK by 2+
29%
NSH by 2+
19%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to VGK.+0.20
  • Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: VGK 3.10 vs NSH 2.65 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.17
  • Team OffenseVGK scoring +1% vs league average, NSH -1% (time-weighted goal model).+0.07
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Carter Hart (VGK) +0.00 g/gm; Juuse Saros (NSH) +0.04 g/gm.-0.04
  • Team DefenseVGK allowing -8% vs league average, NSH -7%.+0.03

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

NSH

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:08
17:15
18:39
13:38
L2
9:02
16:18
18:02
13:43
L3
6:57
12:02
19:12
L4
7:01
10:10
20:45
13:00
D1
15:58
27:33
21:32
D2
12:32
20:23
18:02
D3
14:13
17:31
16:05
0:00
Starter
64:52
Backup

Injured / Scratched

None reported

VGK

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:20
16:57
16:54
17:42
L2
11:03
15:20
16:21
16:17
L3
9:37
14:32
15:44
13:21
L4
7:53
11:01
12:23
12:22
D1
11:04
24:00
18:11
D2
12:38
21:14
18:34
D3
8:11
24:29
12:26
58:12
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice