Skip to content
← Back to model accuracy

Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

TeamAll teamsMTL
Pick a team
MTLANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
ResultAllRightWrong

PHI: 0 of 3 called right (0%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 8PHI @ CGYPHI 52%3.0–2.93–4Wrong
Nov 1UTA @ PHIUTA 53%3.0–2.83–6Wrong
Oct 27CBJ @ PHIPHI 51%2.6–2.64–3Wrong

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.