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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

TeamAll teamsMTL
Pick a team
MTLANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
ResultAllRightWrong

DAL: 0 of 4 called right (0%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 5DAL @ CBJDAL 52%2.8–2.71–2Wrong
Nov 3DAL @ WSHWSH 50%2.8–2.86–5Wrong
Oct 29MTL @ DALDAL 56%2.4–2.75–2Wrong
Oct 27NJD @ DALDAL 58%2.5–2.95–1Wrong

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.