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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

TeamAll teamsMTL
Pick a team
MTLANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
ResultAllRightWrong

NYI: 4 of 4 called right (100%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 7NJD @ NYINJD 54%3.0–2.75–4Right
Nov 5CAR @ NYICAR 62%3.1–2.45–3Right
Oct 31EDM @ NYIEDM 51%3.0–3.04–0Right
Oct 25NYI @ DALDAL 55%2.2–2.53–6Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.