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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

TeamAll teamsMTL
Pick a team
MTLANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
ResultAllRightWrong

BOS: 5 of 5 called right (100%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 8FLA @ BOSBOS 55%2.8–3.11–4Right
Nov 5BOS @ PITBOS 55%3.2–2.96–2Right
Nov 2VGK @ BOSBOS 55%2.9–3.22–3Right
Oct 31CHI @ BOSBOS 71%2.3–3.64–5Right
Oct 27BOS @ CARCAR 55%2.9–3.21–2Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.