Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
CGYaway
46%
at
LAKhome
54%
Win probability8-pt gap
Model pick
LAK · 54% to win
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot MetricsHome IceProjected GoaltendingTeam Defense (Goal Model)
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Team OffenseLAK scoring -5% vs league average, CGY -12% (time-weighted goal model).+0.22
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: LAK 3.02 vs CGY 2.82 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.22
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to LAK.+0.20
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Darcy Kuemper (LAK) -0.07 g/gm; Dustin Wolf (CGY) -0.10 g/gm.+0.03
Team DefenseLAK allowing +2% vs league average, CGY +3%.+0.02
InjuriesLAK without Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala; CGY without Kevin Bahl, Connor Zary, Samuel Honzek.+0.02
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
