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FINALCrypto.com Arena · Oct 31
BUF rest: 0dLAK rest: 0d

Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Sabres beat Kings 3–2

  • T. Thompson scored the game-winner on the power play at 13:40 of the third.
  • U. Luukkonen stopped 27 of 29 shots (.931) for the win.
  • Power play: BUF 2/3, LAK 1/5.
  • The Kings dominated the dot, winning 64% of faceoffs.
  • T. Thompson led all scorers with 2 goals and 0 assists.
  • HabsMetrics model had the Sabres as 53% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    T. Thompson

    BUF · 2G 0A

  2. 2nd star
    J. Quinn

    BUF · 1G 1A

  3. 3rd star
    C. Perry

    LAK · 1G 0A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

BUFLAK
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits1528
Blocked3019
Power Play2/31/5
Faceoff %35.864.2
Corsi %----
xG2.533.28
Giveaways814
Takeaways42

Los Angeles Kings

Player statistics for Los Angeles Kings
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
011+1011:05
011+1210:40
101+1209:32
011-1318:30
011-1120:07
101-1919:42
0000006:11
0000117:31
000-1022:15
0000005:41
----37/40--.92557:57
----28/31--.90300:00

Buffalo Sabres

Player statistics for Buffalo Sabres
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
1120217:31
202+1820:09
0220423:20
022+1223:21
011+1125:59
0000108:47
000+1015:41
000-1012:54
000-1011:27
0000014:25
----47/49--.95960:00
----27/29--.93100:00
BUFaway
53%
at
LAKhome
47%
Win probability6-pt gap
Model pick
BUF · 53% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceInjuriesMarket Consensus BlendTeam Defense (Goal Model)

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

BUF
3.1
–
LAK
2.9

Most likely final: LAK 2–3 BUF · Actual: 2–3

LAK win
47%
BUF win
53%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. LAK 2 – 3 BUF8%
  2. LAK 3 – 2 BUF8%
  3. LAK 3 – 4 BUF7%
  4. LAK 4 – 3 BUF7%
  5. LAK 1 – 2 BUF5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
53%
7+ total goals
43%
LAK by 2+
22%
BUF by 2+
27%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseLAK scoring -7% vs league average, BUF +3% (time-weighted goal model).-0.28
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to LAK.+0.17
  • InjuriesLAK without Adrian Kempe, Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala; BUF without Konsta Helenius, Jiri Kulich, Conor Timmins.-0.11
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.07
  • Team DefenseLAK allowing +1% vs league average, BUF +3%.+0.05
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Darcy Kuemper (LAK) -0.06 g/gm; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) -0.09 g/gm.+0.03

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

BUF

Actual (from shift data)
L1
12:41
23:20
20:09
15:41
L2
11:09
13:22
18:14
17:31
L3
7:41
8:47
14:25
9:12
L4
6:29
12:54
11:27
7:37
D1
13:07
25:59
23:21
D2
11:16
27:12
19:51
D3
0:13
10:26
10:22
60:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

LAK

Actual (from shift data)
L1
15:51
24:50
23:13
17:31
L2
11:34
18:30
22:15
19:42
L3
6:45
47Lee
9:32
11:05
10:40
L4
4:30
11:44
5:41
6:11
D1
12:45
21:35
20:07
D2
14:49
23:11
18:05
D3
13:22
18:11
14:38
57:57
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice