New York Rangers at Calgary Flames: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
NYRaway
55%
at
CGYhome
45%
Win probability10-pt gap
Model pick
NYR · 55% to win
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)score_goals_modelProjected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Team OffenseCGY scoring -12% vs league average, NYR -1% (time-weighted goal model).-0.35
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to CGY.+0.20
Team DefenseCGY allowing +3% vs league average, NYR -4%.-0.18
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: CGY 2.85 vs NYR 3.04 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.12
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Dustin Wolf (CGY) -0.10 g/gm; Dylan Garand (NYR) +0.02 g/gm.-0.12
InjuriesCGY without Kevin Bahl, Connor Zary, Samuel Honzek; NYR without Joe Veleno, Sean Durzi, Adam Sykora.-0.02
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
