Skip to content
HabsMetrics
← Back to Dashboard
SCHEDULEDTD Garden · Nov 15
MINMIN
—@—
BOSBOS
MIN rest: 1dBOS rest: 1d

Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

MINaway
52%
at
BOShome
48%
Win probability4-pt gap
Model pick
MIN · 52% to win

Key signals

Recent Form & Shot MetricsHome IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)InjuriesTeam Offense (Goal Model)

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

MIN
2.9
–
BOS
2.8

Most likely final: BOS 2–3 MIN

BOS win
48%
MIN win
52%
Goes to OT/SO
25%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. BOS 2 – 3 MIN9%
  2. BOS 3 – 2 MIN9%
  3. BOS 3 – 4 MIN7%
  4. BOS 4 – 3 MIN6%
  5. BOS 1 – 2 MIN6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
48%
7+ total goals
38%
BOS by 2+
22%
MIN by 2+
25%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: BOS 2.92 vs MIN 3.08 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.25
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to BOS.+0.20
  • Team DefenseBOS allowing -11% vs league average, MIN -16%.-0.16
  • InjuriesBOS without Matthew Poitras, James Hagens; MIN without Michael McCarron, Jared Spurgeon, Brock Faber.+0.08
  • Team OffenseBOS scoring +8% vs league average, MIN +6% (time-weighted goal model).+0.06
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jeremy Swayman (BOS) +0.04 g/gm; Jesper Wallstedt (MIN) +0.09 g/gm.-0.05

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

MIN

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
18:16
12Boldy
21:16
14Eriksson Ek
19:33
97Kaprizov
21:43
L2
11:11
20Coleman
16:14
47McCarron
13:38
10Brink
16:11
L3
9:26
49Shabanov
14:11
13Trenin
12:02
22Yurov
14:51
L4
8:23
78Sturm
9:22
19Pitlick
9:59
38Hartman
13:38
D1
20:19
43Hughes
29:41
25Brodin
23:55
D2
14:52
3Maatta
19:10
24Bogosian
18:25
D3
9:30
82Spacek
12:27
26Kiersted
11:44
30Wallstedt
60:00
Starter
31Pickard
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

BOS

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
9:59
10Peterka
19:24
18Zacha
21:43
88Pastrnak
21:31
L2
11:57
11Mittelstadt
17:53
28Lindholm
22:07
44Hagens
17:27
L3
7:48
39Geekie
16:57
93Minten
19:46
92Khusnutdinov
15:05
L4
2:53
84Jeannot
9:36
47Kastelic
9:02
RW
D1
12:28
73McAvoy
25:36
27Lindholm
20:35
D2
13:34
91Zadorov
19:54
17Borgen
18:58
D3
9:20
6Lohrei
17:57
45Aspirot
14:08
1Swayman
65:00
Starter
30DiPietro
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice