St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
STLaway
49%
at
UTAhome
51%
Win probabilityToss-up
Model pick
Toss-up · No clear favourite · STL 49% · UTA 51%
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)Rest / Back-to-BackHome IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot Metrics
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Team DefenseUTA allowing +5% vs league average, STL -2%.-0.21
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to UTA.+0.20
Team OffenseUTA scoring +6% vs league average, STL -1% (time-weighted goal model).+0.20
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: UTA 3.22 vs STL 2.84 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.19
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Karel Vejmelka (UTA) -0.11 g/gm; Joel Hofer (STL) +0.07 g/gm.-0.18
InjuriesUTA without Kailer Yamamoto, Nate Schmidt, John Marino; STL without Logan Mailloux, Tyler Tucker.-0.16
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
