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SCHEDULEDCapital One Arena · Nov 15
NJDNJD
—@—
WSHWSH
NJD rest: 1dWSH rest: 1d

New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

NJDaway
54%
at
WSHhome
46%
Win probability8-pt gap
Model pick
NJD · 54% to win

Key signals

Recent Form & Shot MetricsHome IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Injuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

NJD
3.4
–
WSH
3.1

Most likely final: WSH 2–3 NJD

WSH win
46%
NJD win
54%
Goes to OT/SO
23%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. WSH 2 – 3 NJD8%
  2. WSH 3 – 2 NJD7%
  3. WSH 3 – 4 NJD7%
  4. WSH 4 – 3 NJD7%
  5. WSH 1 – 2 NJD4%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
59%
7+ total goals
49%
WSH by 2+
21%
NJD by 2+
29%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: WSH 3.01 vs NJD 3.23 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.38
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to WSH.+0.20
  • Team DefenseWSH allowing +4% vs league average, NJD -1%.-0.17
  • Team OffenseWSH scoring +8% vs league average, NJD +3% (time-weighted goal model).+0.12
  • InjuriesWSH without Vincent Desharnais, Rasmus Sandin.-0.09
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Logan Thompson (WSH) -0.04 g/gm; Jake Allen (NJD) -0.05 g/gm.+0.01

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

NJD

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
10:51
28Meier
17:27
13Hischier
18:12
77Evangelista
18:40
L2
11:00
63Bratt
15:35
86Hughes
17:19
81Gritsyuk
17:48
L3
9:15
70Boqvist
13:59
C
RW
L4
7:23
93Lombardi
11:35
12Glass
12:13
16Brown
10:15
D1
17:38
43Hughes
23:39
22Pesce
21:52
D2
13:41
71Siegenthaler
20:45
7Hamilton
17:54
D3
9:42
8Kovacevic
16:33
47Chisholm
15:48
37Hellebuyck
60:00
Starter
34Allen
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

WSH

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:29
21Protas
16:59
80Dubois
17:22
43Wilson
18:01
L2
11:07
89Tuch
18:15
17Strome
18:28
25Kyrou
14:56
L3
6:08
34Sourdif
13:04
22Jenner
14:59
9Leonard
12:18
L4
4:45
8Ovechkin
13:08
62Protas
8:44
72Beauvillier
10:22
D1
8:28
3Roy
21:07
42Fehervary
20:27
D2
3:50
6Chychrun
27:16
27Liljegren
13:47
D3
9:14
44Hutson
19:58
29St. Ivany
15:16
48Thompson
58:52
Starter
79Lindgren
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Patrick Thomasinjured-reserve · Upper Body
  • Vincent Desharnaisinjured-reserve · Abdomen (Surgery)
  • Rasmus Sandinlong-term-injured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery)

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice