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SCHEDULEDVeikkaus Arena · Nov 12
—@—
CAR rest: 3dSEA rest: 4d

Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

CARaway
71%
at
SEAhome
29%
Win probability42-pt gap
Model pick
CAR · 71% to win

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot MetricsHome IceProjected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

CAR
3.7
–
SEA
2.4

Most likely final: SEA 2–3 CAR

SEA win
29%
CAR win
71%
Goes to OT/SO
21%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. SEA 2 – 3 CAR9%
  2. SEA 3 – 4 CAR7%
  3. SEA 3 – 2 CAR6%
  4. SEA 1 – 2 CAR6%
  5. SEA 4 – 3 CAR5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
53%
7+ total goals
42%
SEA by 2+
10%
CAR by 2+
44%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team DefenseSEA allowing +9% vs league average, CAR -13%.-0.66
  • Team OffenseSEA scoring +2% vs league average, CAR +17% (time-weighted goal model).-0.41
  • Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: SEA 2.39 vs CAR 3.65 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.29
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to SEA.+0.20
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Philipp Grubauer (SEA) -0.03 g/gm; Pyotr Kochetkov (CAR) +0.06 g/gm.-0.09
  • InjuriesSEA without Curtis Douglas, Jared McCann, Ryan Lindgren; CAR without William Carrier.-0.04

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

CAR

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
10:52
12:58
20Aho
21:16
17:34
L2
8:32
14:03
15:46
16:16
L3
8:17
13:22
13:26
15:01
L4
10:23
14:35
13:31
D1
16:39
22:01
21:19
D2
13:17
20:25
17:43
D3
11:30
59:58
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

SEA

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
9:12
17:56
L2
11:29
17:18
17:26
16:25
L3
12:47
16:01
18:29
15:46
L4
2:29
12:20
13:31
4:29
D1
13:13
24:43
21:26
D2
8:24
19:36
17:18
D3
5:58
15:51
14:41
30:40
Starter
29:20
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice