Penguins vs Sharks Score & Box Score — Wed, Nov 11, 2026

SCHEDULEDSAP Center at San Jose · Nov 12

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PIT rest: 2dSJS rest: 1d

Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

PITaway

56%

SJShome

44%

Win probability12-pt gap

Model pick

PIT · 56% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot MetricsInjuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

PIT

3.2

–

SJS

3.0

Most likely final: SJS 2–3 PIT

SJS win: 48%
PIT win: 52%
Goes to OT/SO: 24%

Likeliest scorelines

SJS 2 – 3 PIT8%
SJS 3 – 2 PIT8%
SJS 3 – 4 PIT7%
SJS 4 – 3 PIT7%
SJS 1 – 2 PIT5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 56%
7+ total goals: 46%
SJS by 2+: 23%
PIT by 2+: 27%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team OffenseSJS scoring -12% vs league average, PIT +1% (time-weighted goal model).-0.41
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to SJS.+0.20
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: SJS 2.94 vs PIT 3.16 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.10
Team DefenseSJS allowing +10% vs league average, PIT +7%.-0.08
InjuriesSJS without Igor Chernyshov, Alexander Wennberg; PIT without Elmer Soderblom, Bryan Rust, Ryan Graves.+0.03
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Yaroslav Askarov (SJS) -0.06 g/gm; Arturs Silovs (PIT) -0.08 g/gm.+0.02