Skip to content
HabsMetrics
← Back to Dashboard
SCHEDULEDEnterprise Center · Nov 15
FLAFLA
—@—
STLSTL
FLA rest: 1dSTL rest: 1d

Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

FLAaway
48%
at
STLhome
52%
Win probability4-pt gap
Model pick
STL · 52% to win

Key signals

Recent Form & Shot MetricsInjuriesHome IceProjected GoaltendingTeam Defense (Goal Model)

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

FLA
2.9
–
STL
3.0

Most likely final: STL 3–2 FLA

STL win
52%
FLA win
48%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. STL 3 – 2 FLA9%
  2. STL 2 – 3 FLA8%
  3. STL 4 – 3 FLA7%
  4. STL 3 – 4 FLA6%
  5. STL 2 – 1 FLA6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
50%
7+ total goals
40%
STL by 2+
25%
FLA by 2+
23%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: STL 2.91 vs FLA 3.13 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.46
  • InjuriesSTL without Logan Mailloux, Tyler Tucker; FLA without Anton Lundell, Sandis Vilmanis, Brad Marchand.+0.20
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to STL.+0.20
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Joel Hofer (STL) +0.07 g/gm; Akira Schmid (FLA) -0.04 g/gm.+0.11
  • Team DefenseSTL allowing -2% vs league average, FLA +0%.+0.07
  • Team OffenseSTL scoring -1% vs league average, FLA -0% (time-weighted goal model).-0.02

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

FLA

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:02
19Tkachuk
20:31
9Bennett
18:59
8Tkachuk
19:20
L2
13:50
27Luostarinen
18:46
15Lundell
19:28
20Eller
17:21
L3
11:20
95Vilmanis
13:35
13Reinhart
20:13
23Verhaeghe
18:52
L4
3:59
14Imama
4:28
79Schwindt
4:32
21Hathaway
6:25
D1
16:22
3Jones
27:23
77Mikkola
21:34
D2
13:39
5Ekblad
20:22
42Forsling
20:02
D3
10:14
7Kulikov
12:43
6Gudas
12:06
40Schmid
0:00
Starter
25Markstrom
57:33
Backup

Injured / Scratched

STL

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
11:27
63Neighbours
16:51
18Thomas
23:48
21Snuggerud
18:59
L2
5:04
77McMichael
17:05
83McTavish
16:39
29Berggren
12:08
L3
81Holloway
16:56
15Dvorsky
11:03
89Buchnevich
14:21
L4
6:18
41Kaskimaki
10:40
22Suter
12:02
13Toropchenko
10:36
D1
16:06
6Broberg
27:09
25Carlo
21:22
D2
16:24
17Fowler
21:32
36Jiricek
20:22
D3
8:09
72Barron
16:00
4Lindstein
10:14
30Hofer
59:28
Starter
50Binnington
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice