NYIaway
46%at
LAKhome
54%Win probability8-pt gap
Model pick
LAK · 54% to win
Key signals
Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)InjuriesTeam Offense (Goal Model)Projected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
← Back to Dashboard
SCHEDULEDCrypto.com Arena · Nov 13
NYI rest: 2dLAK rest: 1d
Projected score
NYI
2.7
–
LAK
3.0
Most likely final: LAK 3–2 NYI
- LAK win
- 54%
- NYI win
- 46%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 25%
Likeliest scorelines
- LAK 3 – 2 NYI9%
- LAK 2 – 3 NYI8%
- LAK 2 – 1 NYI7%
- LAK 4 – 3 NYI7%
- LAK 1 – 2 NYI6%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 47%
- 7+ total goals
- 37%
- LAK by 2+
- 27%
- NYI by 2+
- 20%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to LAK.+0.19
- Team DefenseLAK allowing +0% vs league average, NYI -4%.-0.12
- InjuriesLAK without Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala; NYI without Ryan Pulock, Mathew Barzal, Matias Maccelli.+0.12
- Team OffenseLAK scoring -4% vs league average, NYI -7% (time-weighted goal model).+0.09
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Darcy Kuemper (LAK) -0.04 g/gm; Ilya Sorokin (NYI) +0.04 g/gm.-0.08
- Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: LAK 3.01 vs NYI 2.80 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.07
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
NYI
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
Injured / Scratched
- Ryan Pulockother · Upper Body
- Mathew Barzalinjured-reserve · Knee
- Matias Maccelliinjured-reserve · Left Lower Body
- Calum Ritchieinjured-reserve · Lower Body
- Alexander Romanovinjured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery)
LAK
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
L1
15:51
D1
12:45
21:35
92Clarke
20:07
Injured / Scratched
- Jakub Dvorakinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Adrian Kempeday-to-day · Undisclosed
- Jan Jenikinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Mats Zuccarelloinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Alex Turcotteinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Kevin Fialainjured-reserve · Left Lower Leg (Surgery)
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice