NYRaway
68%at
VANhome
32%Win probability36-pt gap
Model pick
NYR · 68% to win
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)score_goals_modelHome IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Injuries
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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SCHEDULEDRogers Arena · Nov 14
NYR rest: 1dVAN rest: 3d
New York Rangers at Vancouver Canucks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Projected score
NYR
3.8
–
VAN
2.7
Most likely final: VAN 2–3 NYR
- VAN win
- 32%
- NYR win
- 68%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 21%
Likeliest scorelines
- VAN 2 – 3 NYR8%
- VAN 3 – 4 NYR7%
- VAN 3 – 2 NYR6%
- VAN 4 – 3 NYR5%
- VAN 2 – 4 NYR5%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 60%
- 7+ total goals
- 49%
- VAN by 2+
- 13%
- NYR by 2+
- 42%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team DefenseVAN allowing +25% vs league average, NYR -4%.-0.78
- Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: VAN 2.63 vs NYR 3.85 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.42
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to VAN.+0.20
- Team OffenseVAN scoring -6% vs league average, NYR -1% (time-weighted goal model).-0.14
- InjuriesVAN without Tom Willander, Filip Chytil; NYR without Joe Veleno, Sean Durzi, Adam Sykora.+0.07
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Leevi Meriläinen (VAN) -0.04 g/gm; Dylan Garand (NYR) +0.02 g/gm.-0.06
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
NYR
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
L2
13:47
L3
4:17
L4
6:28
D2
15:31
20:06
19:39
Injured / Scratched
- Joe Velenolong-term-injured-reserve · Right Lower Body
- Aidan Thompsoninjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Igor Shesterkinlong-term-injured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery)
- Adam Sykorainjured-reserve · Lower Body
- Sean Durziother · Undisclosed
- Joonas Korpisaloinjured-reserve · Foot (Infection)
VAN
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
Injured / Scratched
- Filip Chytilinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Akil Thomasinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Mackenzie MacEacherninjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Thatcher Demkoinjured-reserve · Hip (Surgery)
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice