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SCHEDULEDPrudential Center · Nov 13
WSHWSH
—@—
NJDNJD
WSH rest: 1dNJD rest: 1d

Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

WSHaway
43%
at
NJDhome
57%
Win probability14-pt gap
Model pick
NJD · 57% to win

Key signals

Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)InjuriesRecent Form & Shot Metrics

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

WSH
3.0
–
NJD
3.4

Most likely final: NJD 3–2 WSH

NJD win
57%
WSH win
43%
Goes to OT/SO
23%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. NJD 3 – 2 WSH8%
  2. NJD 4 – 3 WSH7%
  3. NJD 2 – 3 WSH7%
  4. NJD 3 – 4 WSH7%
  5. NJD 2 – 1 WSH4%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
60%
7+ total goals
50%
NJD by 2+
30%
WSH by 2+
20%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to NJD.+0.20
  • Team DefenseNJD allowing -1% vs league average, WSH +4%.+0.17
  • Team OffenseNJD scoring +3% vs league average, WSH +8% (time-weighted goal model).-0.12
  • InjuriesWSH without Vincent Desharnais, Rasmus Sandin.+0.09
  • Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: NJD 3.32 vs WSH 2.98 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.08
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jake Allen (NJD) -0.05 g/gm; Logan Thompson (WSH) -0.04 g/gm.-0.01

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

WSH

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:29
21Protas
16:59
80Dubois
17:22
43Wilson
18:01
L2
11:07
89Tuch
18:15
17Strome
18:28
25Kyrou
14:56
L3
6:08
34Sourdif
13:04
22Jenner
14:59
9Leonard
12:18
L4
4:45
8Ovechkin
13:08
62Protas
8:44
72Beauvillier
10:22
D1
8:28
3Roy
21:07
42Fehervary
20:27
D2
3:50
6Chychrun
27:16
27Liljegren
13:47
D3
9:14
44Hutson
19:58
29St. Ivany
15:16
48Thompson
58:52
Starter
79Lindgren
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Patrick Thomasinjured-reserve · Upper Body
  • Vincent Desharnaisinjured-reserve · Abdomen (Surgery)
  • Rasmus Sandinlong-term-injured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery)

NJD

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
10:51
28Meier
17:27
13Hischier
18:12
77Evangelista
18:40
L2
11:00
63Bratt
15:35
86Hughes
17:19
81Gritsyuk
17:48
L3
9:15
70Boqvist
13:59
17Rodrigues
16:22
RW
L4
7:23
93Lombardi
11:35
12Glass
12:13
16Brown
10:15
D1
17:38
43Hughes
23:39
22Pesce
21:52
D2
13:41
71Siegenthaler
20:45
7Hamilton
17:54
D3
9:42
8Kovacevic
16:33
47Chisholm
15:48
37Hellebuyck
60:00
Starter
34Allen
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice