Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
SEAaway
25%
at
CARhome
75%
Win probability50-pt gap
Model pick
CAR · 75% to win
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceRecent Form & Shot MetricsProjected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Team DefenseCAR allowing -13% vs league average, SEA +9%.+0.66
Team OffenseCAR scoring +17% vs league average, SEA +2% (time-weighted goal model).+0.41
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to CAR.+0.20
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: CAR 3.90 vs SEA 2.35 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.16
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Pyotr Kochetkov (CAR) +0.06 g/gm; Philipp Grubauer (SEA) -0.03 g/gm.+0.09
InjuriesCAR without William Carrier; SEA without Curtis Douglas, Jared McCann, Ryan Lindgren.+0.04
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
