Sabres vs Stars Score & Box Score — Sat, Nov 14, 2026

SCHEDULEDAmerican Airlines Center · Nov 15

—@—

BUF rest: 1dDAL rest: 1d

Buffalo Sabres at Dallas Stars: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

BUFaway

49%

DALhome

51%

Win probability2-pt gap

Model pick

DAL · 51% to win

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot MetricsInjuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

BUF

2.8

–

DAL

2.9

Most likely final: DAL 3–2 BUF

DAL win: 51%
BUF win: 49%
Goes to OT/SO: 25%

Likeliest scorelines

DAL 3 – 2 BUF9%
DAL 2 – 3 BUF9%
DAL 4 – 3 BUF7%
DAL 3 – 4 BUF6%
DAL 2 – 1 BUF6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 48%
7+ total goals: 38%
DAL by 2+: 25%
BUF by 2+: 23%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team DefenseDAL allowing -11% vs league average, BUF -1%.+0.31
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to DAL.+0.20
Team OffenseDAL scoring -5% vs league average, BUF +1% (time-weighted goal model).-0.18
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: DAL 2.94 vs BUF 2.79 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.16
InjuriesDAL without Miro Heiskanen, Matt Duchene, Oskar Back; BUF without Konsta Helenius.-0.16
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jake Oettinger (DAL) +0.02 g/gm; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) -0.07 g/gm.+0.09