Lightning vs Jackets Score & Box Score — Thu, Nov 12, 2026

SCHEDULEDNationwide Arena · Nov 13

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TBL rest: 0dCBJ rest: 1d

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

TBLaway

61%

CBJhome

39%

Win probability22-pt gap

Model pick

TBL · 61% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Rest / Back-to-BackRecent Form & Shot MetricsHome IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

TBL

3.3

–

CBJ

2.6

Most likely final: CBJ 2–3 TBL

CBJ win: 39%
TBL win: 61%
Goes to OT/SO: 23%

Likeliest scorelines

CBJ 2 – 3 TBL9%
CBJ 3 – 2 TBL7%
CBJ 3 – 4 TBL7%
CBJ 1 – 2 TBL6%
CBJ 4 – 3 TBL6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 51%
7+ total goals: 41%
CBJ by 2+: 16%
TBL by 2+: 34%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team OffenseCBJ scoring -9% vs league average, TBL +9% (time-weighted goal model).-0.56
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: CBJ 2.51 vs TBL 3.24 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.30
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to CBJ.+0.20
Team DefenseCBJ allowing -1% vs league average, TBL -3%.-0.06
InjuriesCBJ without Sean Monahan, Dmitri Voronkov; TBL without Yanni Gourde.+0.01
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jet Greaves (CBJ) -0.05 g/gm; Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) -0.04 g/gm.-0.01