Sabres vs Blackhawks Score & Box Score — Thu, Nov 12, 2026

SCHEDULEDUnited Center · Nov 13

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BUF rest: 0dCHI rest: 4d

Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

BUFaway

62%

CHIhome

38%

Win probability24-pt gap

Model pick

BUF · 62% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)Rest / Back-to-BackHome IceRecent Form & Shot Metrics

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

BUF

3.7

–

CHI

2.9

Most likely final: CHI 2–3 BUF

CHI win: 38%
BUF win: 62%
Goes to OT/SO: 22%

Likeliest scorelines

CHI 2 – 3 BUF8%
CHI 3 – 4 BUF7%
CHI 3 – 2 BUF6%
CHI 4 – 3 BUF6%
CHI 2 – 4 BUF4%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 62%
7+ total goals: 51%
CHI by 2+: 16%
BUF by 2+: 36%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team OffenseCHI scoring -16% vs league average, BUF +1% (time-weighted goal model).-0.54
Team DefenseCHI allowing +17% vs league average, BUF -1%.-0.51
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to CHI.+0.20
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: CHI 2.81 vs BUF 3.60 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.09
InjuriesCHI without Patrick Kane, Bowen Byram; BUF without Konsta Helenius.-0.05
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Spencer Knight (CHI) -0.08 g/gm; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) -0.07 g/gm.-0.01