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SCHEDULEDUnited Center · Nov 14
WPGWPG
—@—
CHICHI
WPG rest: 0dCHI rest: 0d

Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

WPGaway
59%
at
CHIhome
41%
Win probability18-pt gap
Model pick
WPG · 59% to win

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot MetricsHome IceInjuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

WPG
3.6
–
CHI
3.1

Most likely final: CHI 2–3 WPG

CHI win
42%
WPG win
58%
Goes to OT/SO
22%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. CHI 2 – 3 WPG7%
  2. CHI 3 – 4 WPG7%
  3. CHI 4 – 3 WPG7%
  4. CHI 3 – 2 WPG7%
  5. CHI 4 – 5 WPG4%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
63%
7+ total goals
53%
CHI by 2+
19%
WPG by 2+
32%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team DefenseCHI allowing +17% vs league average, WPG +4%.-0.37
  • Team OffenseCHI scoring -16% vs league average, WPG -8% (time-weighted goal model).-0.24
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to CHI.+0.20
  • Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: CHI 3.04 vs WPG 3.62 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.17
  • InjuriesCHI without Patrick Kane, Bowen Byram; WPG without Nick Bjugstad, Haydn Fleury, Josh Morrissey.+0.08
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Spencer Knight (CHI) -0.08 g/gm; Stuart Skinner (WPG) -0.05 g/gm.-0.03

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

WPG

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:55
81Connor
19:16
55Scheifele
20:08
13Vilardi
16:57
L2
5:22
91Perfetti
15:34
C
17Lowry
14:21
L3
4:22
9Iafallo
13:59
61Björck
15:06
62Niederreiter
14:26
L4
2:39
77Bauer
8:25
36Barron
14:47
27Rosén
10:36
D1
12:42
4Pionk
22:55
54Samberg
21:39
D2
11:58
2DeMelo
19:59
24Fleury
16:43
D3
9:28
57Salomonsson
19:19
38Ferraro
13:55
74Skinner
29:09
Starter
33Stevenson
30:51
Backup

Injured / Scratched

CHI

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
5:38
59Bertuzzi
18:02
98Bedard
21:19
80Kantserov
16:31
L2
4:47
11Moore
14:53
91Nazar
21:42
8Donato
12:36
L3
4:21
86Teravainen
13:19
20Greene
18:40
22Smith
12:24
L4
26Mangiapane
10:18
16Frondell
17:33
RW
D1
11:17
55Levshunov
20:06
44Kaiser
19:12
D2
9:17
72Vlasic
21:32
28Cole
15:31
D3
6:34
6Rinzel
16:32
38Del Mastro
12:08
30Knight
58:54
Starter
40Soderblom
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice