New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
NYIaway
45%
at
ANAhome
55%
Win probability10-pt gap
Model pick
ANA · 55% to win
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot MetricsHome IceProjected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Team OffenseANA scoring +10% vs league average, NYI -6% (time-weighted goal model).+0.47
Team DefenseANA allowing +13% vs league average, NYI -3%.-0.45
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: ANA 3.33 vs NYI 2.88 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.21
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to ANA.+0.20
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Lukas Dostal (ANA) -0.10 g/gm; Ilya Sorokin (NYI) +0.03 g/gm.-0.13
InjuriesANA without A.J. Greer, Troy Terry, Ian Moore; NYI without Ryan Pulock, Mathew Barzal, Matias Maccelli.-0.02
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
