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FINALBall Arena · Oct 29
NJD rest: 0dCOL rest: 2d

New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Avalanche beat Devils 5–2

  • P. Kelly scored the game-winner at 3:47 of the third.
  • M. Blackwood stopped 20 of 22 shots (.909) for the win.
  • The Avalanche controlled play, outshooting the Devils 45–22.
  • Power play: COL 1/2, NJD 0/3.
  • C. Brown led all scorers with 2 goals and 0 assists.
  • HabsMetrics model had the Avalanche as 61% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    N. Kadri

    COL · 1G 1A

  2. 2nd star
    B. Burns

    COL · 0G 2A

  3. 3rd star
    J. Schwartz

    COL · 1G 1A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

NJDCOL
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits1711
Blocked1412
Power Play0/31/2
Faceoff %46.353.7
Corsi %35.564.5
xG2.584.48
Giveaways1520
Takeaways44

Colorado Avalanche

Player statistics for Colorado Avalanche
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
112+1215:06
022+3321:11
022+2417:49
112+1310:53
011+1013:31
011+1011:26
101+1314:13
011+1218:33
101-1112:29
0110424:42
----30/32--.93859:27
----20/22--.90900:00

New Jersey Devils

Player statistics for New Jersey Devils
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
202+1214:10
011+1012:12
0110411:51
000-1116:03
000-1114:06
000-1213:52
000-1216:45
000-1110:54
000-1017:28
000-1116:24
----59/64--.92260:00
----39/44--.88600:00
NJDaway
39%
at
COLhome
61%
Win probability22-pt gap
Model pick
COL · 61% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Rest / Back-to-BackHome IceInjuriesTeam Defense (Goal Model)

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

NJD
3.0
–
COL
3.7

Most likely final: COL 3–2 NJD · Actual: 5–2

COL win
61%
NJD win
39%
Goes to OT/SO
22%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. COL 3 – 2 NJD8%
  2. COL 4 – 3 NJD8%
  3. COL 3 – 4 NJD6%
  4. COL 2 – 3 NJD6%
  5. COL 5 – 4 NJD4%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
63%
7+ total goals
53%
COL by 2+
34%
NJD by 2+
18%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseCOL scoring +16% vs league average, NJD +2% (time-weighted goal model).+0.39
  • RestNJD on the second night of a back-to-back.+0.20
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +4% applied to COL.+0.12
  • Team DefenseCOL allowing +1% vs league average, NJD -3%.-0.10
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.04
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) -0.02 g/gm; Jake Allen (NJD) -0.03 g/gm.+0.01

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

NJD

Actual (from shift data)
L1
12:01
16:45
20:37
16:24
L2
11:00
14:06
16:55
L3
9:22
10:54
16:03
13:52
L4
9:44
11:51
12:12
14:10
D1
14:02
23:38
19:19
D2
13:35
D3
13:30
17:10
16:53
60:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

  • Seamus Caseyinjured-reserve · Knee

COL

Actual (from shift data)
L1
11:34
18:33
19:35
19:00
L2
10:26
13:31
14:13
13:39
L3
9:18
12:29
16:38
10Roy
11:26
L4
9:13
10:53
15:06
13:09
D1
10:53
25:51
24:42
D2
6:13
22:42
17:49
D3
0:05
21:11
4:06
59:27
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice